Bases | Ballpark Pal

Park	Total	Away	Bases	Home	Bases
Nationals Park	33.92	ATL	17.66	WAS	16.26
Target Field	29.35	NYY	16.17	MIN	13.18
Chase Field	27.88	SF	13.20	ARI	14.68
Dodger Stadium	27.03	PHI	12.55	LAD	14.48
Busch Stadium	26.49	CIN	13.54	STL	12.95
Daikin Park	26.34	TEX	13.14	HOU	13.20
Rate Field	24.58	BAL	12.50	CHW	12.08
PNC Park	23.79	CHC	11.89	PIT	11.89
Steinbrenner Field		TOR		TB

Park	Teams	Avg	< 16	16-21	22-27	28-33	34-39	40+
Nationals Park	@	33.92	2%	7%	19%	24%	23%	26%
Target Field	@	29.35	6%	16%	23%	23%	17%	15%
Chase Field	@	27.88	7%	18%	27%	24%	14%	10%
Dodger Stadium	@	27.03	8%	20%	28%	21%	13%	9%
Busch Stadium	@	26.49	8%	21%	28%	23%	13%	7%
Daikin Park	@	26.34	11%	20%	28%	22%	12%	8%
Rate Field	@	24.58	14%	26%	27%	18%	9%	6%
PNC Park	@	23.79	13%	28%	29%	19%	8%	3%
Steinbrenner Field	@		%	%	%	%	%	%

Away	Avg	Pitcher	< 8	8-12	13-17	18-22	23+
Braves	17.66	Parker	5%	19%	28%	24%	24%
Nationals	16.26	Strider	8%	24%	29%	22%	17%
Yankees	16.17	Woods Rich.	11%	22%	27%	21%	19%
Diamondbacks	14.68	Teng	11%	28%	33%	19%	10%
Dodgers	14.48	Suarez	11%	29%	31%	20%	9%
Reds	13.54	Liberatore	14%	33%	30%	15%	8%
Giants	13.20	Gallen	19%	30%	28%	15%	8%
Astros	13.20	Leiter	17%	32%	28%	16%	7%
Twins	13.18	Rodon	16%	34%	28%	15%	7%
Rangers	13.14	Alexander	17%	33%	29%	15%	7%
Cardinals	12.95	Littell	18%	32%	30%	15%	6%
Phillies	12.55	Banda	22%	31%	26%	13%	7%
Orioles	12.50	Gilbert	22%	32%	26%	14%	6%
White Sox	12.08	Bradish	23%	34%	26%	12%	5%
Pirates	11.89	Taillon	21%	38%	27%	11%	4%
Cubs	11.89	Ashcraft	23%	36%	26%	11%	4%
Blue Jays		Boyle	%	%	%	%	%
Rays		Yesavage	%	%	%	%	%

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		Actual			Expected		Meatballs
Team	Batter	Park	Opp	vs	Pitcher	Prob	BP	PN	FD	DK	FN	MG	CZ	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Total	/ Pitch	Total	/ Pitch
NYY	Aaron Judge	MIN		10	Woods Rich.	54.4%	-119	-114	-185	-141	-120	-118	-127	390	2.45	51	2.55	426.0	2.68	56.1	2.80	177	6.5%	22	6.7%
ATL	Ozzie Albies	WAS		10	Parker	50.4%	-102		-120	-108	-115	-120	-112	220	1.40	36	1.80	250.8	1.60	38.3	1.91	164	6.9%	30	9.0%
ATL	Matt Olson	WAS		10	Parker	50.3%	-101	+105	-115	+104	-105	+100	+100	302	1.86	51	2.55	337.4	2.08	50.6	2.53	160	5.1%	24	6.2%
ATL	Drake Baldwin	WAS		10	Parker	49.2%	+103	+139	+100	+125	+130	+140	+130	189	1.54	42	2.10	211.7	1.72	44.6	2.23	48	2.8%	8	2.4%
WAS	Luis Garcia	WAS		8	Strider	48.7%	+105	+124	+130	+130	+135	+120	+125	201	1.46	32	1.60	237.9	1.72	40.5	2.03	37	2.0%	4	1.6%
ATL	Jurickson Profar	WAS		10	Parker	48.5%	+106	+102	-115	-105	-105	+100	-103	138	1.73	24	1.20	130.3	1.63	25.9	1.29	61	3.9%	16	4.0%
NYY	Cody Bellinger	MIN		4	Woods Rich.	48.3%	+107	-100	-130	-104	-110	-105	-104	292	1.84	25	1.25	280.7	1.77	25.9	1.29	46	1.7%	5	1.5%
ATL	Michael Harris II	WAS		10	Parker	48.0%	+108	+153	-105	+129	+145	+145	+140	250	1.57	33	1.65	271.7	1.71	40.3	2.02	43	2.0%	8	2.9%
WAS	Josh Bell	WAS		10	Strider	47.9%	+109		+115	+123	+125	+120	+115	197	1.41	44	2.20	237.7	1.70	46.5	2.32	102	4.8%	13	5.0%
SF	Jung Hoo Lee	ARI		4	Gallen	47.5%	+111	+103	+110	+115	+100	+100	+105	228	1.53	31	1.55	218.4	1.47	24.8	1.24	91	3.9%	9	3.2%
WAS	Daylen Lile	WAS		10	Strider	46.9%	+113	+109	+115	+132	+115	+120	+120	164	1.80	52	2.60	149.9	1.65	44.2	2.21	73	5.6%	10	3.5%
WAS	C.J. Abrams	WAS		9	Strider	46.7%	+114	+125	+115	+133	+120	+120	+120	250	1.74	28	1.40	254.3	1.77	31.9	1.60	64	2.8%	8	2.5%
ATL	Ronald Acuna Jr.	WAS		10	Parker	46.3%	+116	-102	-145	-105	-105	-105	-104	175	1.84	44	2.20	179.7	1.89	47.6	2.38	84	4.8%	25	6.5%
ARI	Geraldo Perdomo	ARI		10	Teng	46.3%	+116	+128	+115	+131	+130	+120	+120	276	1.71	40	2.00	281.1	1.75	40.8	2.04	138	4.6%	18	4.5%
TEX	Jake Burger	HOU		5	Alexander	45.8%	+118		+105	+111	+115	+110	+110	149	1.45	28	1.40	169.9	1.65	29.4	1.47	92	6.9%	15	6.4%
ARI	Ketel Marte	ARI		9	Teng	45.7%	+119	-101	-130	+102	+100	-105	-105	248	1.97	35	1.75	269.1	2.14	41.6	2.08	116	5.5%	25	7.4%
MIN	Byron Buxton	MIN		4	Rodon	45.6%	+119	-116	-135	-121	-105	-120	-116	269	2.13	40	2.00	280.8	2.23	41.9	2.09	153	7.5%	26	8.2%
TOR	George Springer	TB		9	Boyle	45.3%	+121	+111	-105	+108	+120	+110	+105	314	2.04	51	2.55	334.6	2.17	48.5	2.43	182	7.1%	15	4.6%
SF	Willy Adames	ARI		3	Gallen	44.6%	+124	+127	-130	+109	+115	+120	+115	249	1.57	27	1.35	267.3	1.68	31.7	1.59	146	5.2%	12	3.3%
LAD	Shohei Ohtani	LAD		8	Suarez	44.4%	+125	+105	-115	+100	-105	+100	-102	426	2.43	58	2.90	449.7	2.57	66.8	3.34	153	4.8%	12	3.4%
ARI	Corbin Carroll	ARI		3	Teng	44.4%	+125	-125	-140	-104	-105	-125	-116	305	2.16	33	1.65	297.5	2.11	33.6	1.68	89	3.5%	13	3.6%
NYY	Paul Goldschmidt	MIN		-2	Woods Rich.	44.3%	+126		+120	+148	+150			201	1.40	16	.80	230.9	1.60	25.8	1.29	64	3.0%	9	3.7%
NYY	Trent Grisham	MIN		5	Woods Rich.	43.7%	+129	+125	-105	+111	+120	+120	+115	235	1.62	27	1.35	261.8	1.81	32.7	1.63	133	5.3%	13	3.6%
STL	Willson Contreras	STL		8	Littell	43.5%	+130	+120	+125	+122	+120	+115	+120	219	1.62	35	1.75	256.9	1.90	31.5	1.58	108	5.0%	16	4.7%
CHC	Pete Crow-Armstrong	PIT		-2	Ashcraft	43.3%	+131		+125	+126	+125	+125	+125	289	1.76	22	1.10	307.1	1.87	29.1	1.46	83	3.4%	9	3.2%
NYY	Jazz Chisholm	MIN		1	Woods Rich.	43.2%	+131	+136	-115	+114	+135	+130	+125	230	1.68	25	1.25	243.5	1.78	29.5	1.48	71	3.1%	11	3.8%
TB	Junior Caminero	TB		2	Yesavage	43.1%	+132	+102	-110	+110	+110	+105	+100	322	2.09	38	1.90	337.1	2.19	38.3	1.92	101	4.0%	11	3.1%
CIN	Austin Hays	STL		9	Liberatore	42.9%	+133	+121	+105	+126	+115	+115	+115	172	1.64	30	1.50	171.7	1.63	34.6	1.73	98	6.3%	7	2.5%
NYY	Giancarlo Stanton	MIN		4	Woods Rich.	42.8%	+134	+122	-115	+105	+125	+115	+110	155	1.85	33	1.65	158.2	1.88	40.0	2.00	51	3.8%	8	2.4%
WAS	James Wood	WAS		10	Strider	42.8%	+134		+135	+139	+150			284	1.81	38	1.90	303.1	1.93	40.4	2.02	114	3.9%	19	5.1%

		Actual		Expected		Meatballs
Team	Pitcher	Park	Opp	Proj Bases	Batters	Innings	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Total	/ Pitch	Total	/ Pitch
WAS	Mitchell Parker	WAS		9.92	22.2	4.9	300	10.00	231	11.55	349.8	11.66	261.9	13.10	171	6.5%	105	6.1%
ATL	Spencer Strider	WAS		9.84	22.3	5.0	215	9.35	193	9.65	235.5	10.24	213.3	10.66	125	5.9%	112	6.1%
PHI	Ranger Suarez	LAD		9.72	23.7	5.6	222	8.54	179	8.95	232.1	8.93	194.0	9.70	80	3.3%	67	3.6%
CIN	Zack Littell	STL		8.42	23.3	5.7	326	9.88	186	9.30	353.9	10.72	199.3	9.97	234	8.2%	127	7.4%
HOU	Jason Alexander	HOU		8.18	23.0	5.5	115	8.85	115	8.85	116.9	9.00	116.9	9.00	33	3.1%	33	3.1%
TEX	Jack Leiter	HOU		8.05	22.2	5.3	206	7.10	155	7.75	249.8	8.62	177.3	8.86	86	3.3%	61	3.4%
ARI	Zac Gallen	ARI		7.97	24.5	6.0	314	9.52	200	10.00	344.7	10.44	227.4	11.37	168	5.4%	90	4.7%
MIN	Simeon Woods Rich.	MIN		7.91	20.3	4.7	153	6.95	133	6.65	166.9	7.59	146.1	7.30	140	7.8%	130	8.1%
STL	Matthew Liberatore	STL		7.88	21.3	5.1	249	8.59	186	9.30	298.8	10.30	221.9	11.10	97	4.1%	68	4.2%
NYY	Carlos Rodon	MIN		7.65	22.3	5.2	242	6.91	142	7.10	281.2	8.03	162.8	8.14	102	3.0%	65	3.4%
SF	Kai-Wei Teng	ARI		7.54	20.3	4.5	36	5.14	36	5.14	35.0	5.00	35.0	5.00	31	6.1%	31	6.1%
CHC	Jameson Taillon	PIT		7.12	21.3	5.2	216	8.64	170	8.50	242.6	9.70	189.2	9.46	214	10.1%	171	10.2%
PIT	Braxton Ashcraft	PIT		6.66	22.1	5.3	37	4.63	37	4.63	44.4	5.55	44.4	5.55	1	0.2%	1	0.2%
BAL	Kyle Bradish	CHW		6.37	20.7	5.1	34	5.67	113	5.65	39.0	6.50	125.1	6.25	9	1.8%	36	2.2%
CHW	Tyler Gilbert	CHW		2.05	6.3	1.5	3	.75	3	.75	5.2	1.30	5.2	1.30	4	6.1%	4	6.1%
LAD	Anthony Banda	LAD		1.71	5.1	1.2	4	4.00	10	3.33	2.8	2.81	5.5	1.83	0	0.0%	2	4.1%

		Actual				Meatballs
Team	Nickname	Park	Opp	Pitcher	Proj	< 5	5-6	7-8	9-10	> 10	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Total	/ Pitch	Total	/ Pitch
ATL	Braves	WAS		Parker	17.66	5%	18%	28%	23%	23%	2200	13.58	298	14.90	2424	14.97	330.1	16.51	1098	4.5%	149	4.8%
NYY	Yankees	MIN		Woods Rich.	16.17	11%	22%	27%	20%	18%	2578	15.25	285	14.25	2763	16.35	325.2	16.26	1051	4.1%	112	3.7%
CIN	Reds	STL		Liberatore	13.54	14%	32%	29%	15%	7%	2143	13.07	242	12.10	2206	13.45	264.8	13.24	1178	5.0%	114	3.9%
SF	Giants	ARI		Gallen	13.20	18%	30%	27%	15%	7%	2073	12.80	223	11.15	2201	13.59	271.1	13.55	1082	4.5%	124	4.3%
TEX	Rangers	HOU		Alexander	13.14	16%	32%	28%	14%	7%	2073	12.80	217	10.85	2371	14.64	258.0	12.90	1141	4.8%	113	4.0%
PHI	Phillies	LAD		Banda	12.55	22%	31%	25%	13%	7%	2425	14.61	299	14.95	2555	15.39	299.9	15.00	1052	4.3%	120	4.1%
BAL	Orioles	CHW		Gilbert	12.50	22%	32%	25%	14%	5%	2140	13.21	206	10.30	2337	14.43	227.9	11.39	971	4.1%	126	4.3%
CHC	Cubs	PIT		Ashcraft	11.90	22%	35%	26%	11%	4%	2463	14.49	288	14.40	2703	15.91	302.8	15.14	1084	4.3%	94	3.2%
ARI	Diamondbacks	ARI		Teng	9.27	10%	27%	32%	18%	10%	2371	14.64	272	13.60	2506	15.47	300.6	15.03	1012	4.2%	138	4.4%
WAS	Nationals	WAS		Strider	9.12	7%	24%	29%	21%	17%	2112	13.04	275	13.75	2297	14.18	300.5	15.02	874	3.8%	105	3.8%
LAD	Dodgers	LAD		Suarez	8.57	11%	28%	30%	19%	9%	2660	14.86	285	14.25	2849	15.92	327.2	16.36	1319	4.9%	131	4.3%
MIN	Twins	MIN		Rodon	8.19	16%	33%	28%	15%	6%	2156	13.31	269	13.45	2338	14.44	279.2	13.96	1146	4.8%	135	4.6%
STL	Cardinals	STL		Littell	8.11	17%	32%	29%	14%	5%	2054	12.68	235	11.75	2286	14.11	253.2	12.66	915	3.9%	114	3.9%
HOU	Astros	HOU		Leiter	7.66	17%	31%	27%	16%	7%	2194	13.54	265	13.25	2367	14.62	305.8	15.29	974	4.2%	122	4.2%
PIT	Pirates	PIT		Taillon	7.54	20%	37%	26%	11%	3%	1885	11.64	226	11.30	2166	13.38	266.1	13.30	1065	4.5%	135	4.5%
CHW	White Sox	CHW		Bradish	7.49	23%	33%	26%	11%	5%	2013	12.43	213	10.65	2266	13.99	242.8	12.14	991	4.3%	94	3.4%

		Actual		Expected		Meatballs
Team	Nickname	Park	Opp	Proj Bases	Batters	Innings	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Bases	/ Game	Total	/ Pitch	Total	/ Pitch
PHI	Phillies	LAD		10.84	13.9	3.34	839	5.05	106	5.30	890	5.37	100.6	5.03	349	3.9%	43	3.6%
BAL	Orioles	CHW		10.46	16.2	3.84	942	5.81	115	5.75	960	5.93	119.3	5.96	387	3.8%	65	4.8%
NYY	Yankees	MIN		8.26	16.1	3.78	904	5.35	95	4.75	977	5.79	112.9	5.65	327	3.3%	25	2.3%
ATL	Braves	WAS		7.74	16.3	3.85	844	5.21	107	5.35	893	5.51	131.3	6.56	466	4.9%	64	5.3%
ARI	Diamondbacks	ARI		7.14	14.6	3.36	912	5.63	120	6.00	966	5.97	140.5	7.03	407	4.3%	63	5.0%
WAS	Nationals	WAS		6.42	20.0	4.47	999	6.17	156	7.80	1025	6.33	159.9	7.99	398	3.8%	54	3.7%
CHW	White Sox	CHW		5.70	32.4	7.85	987	6.09	132	6.60	1070	6.61	139.9	6.99	489	4.4%	55	3.7%
CIN	Reds	STL		5.66	13.8	3.29	835	5.09	87	4.35	910	5.55	98.4	4.92	397	4.1%	35	3.1%
MIN	Twins	MIN		5.53	20.4	4.54	941	5.81	98	4.90	1016	6.28	101.2	5.06	369	3.6%	56	4.5%
CHC	Cubs	PIT		5.23	15.6	3.74	907	5.34	120	6.00	1031	6.07	142.5	7.13	337	3.3%	42	3.0%
SF	Giants	ARI		5.22	18.9	4.30	823	5.08	131	6.55	905	5.59	139.3	6.96	239	2.5%	32	2.5%
HOU	Astros	HOU		5.15	15.8	3.89	826	5.10	112	5.60	860	5.31	128.8	6.44	470	4.9%	91	7.0%
TEX	Rangers	HOU		4.96	14.6	3.57	815	5.03	111	5.55	917	5.66	122.9	6.14	362	4.0%	56	4.3%
PIT	Pirates	PIT		4.78	16.8	4.06	847	5.23	95	4.75	928	5.73	115.2	5.76	412	4.1%	57	4.1%
LAD	Dodgers	LAD		4.76	33.3	8.14	1093	6.11	105	5.25	1135	6.34	124.6	6.23	442	3.6%	27	2.0%
STL	Cardinals	STL		4.53	17.7	4.27	820	5.06	125	6.25	883	5.45	120.9	6.05	288	3.0%	29	2.2%

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