The Ballpark Pal sims project 74 total bases over 3 games
Today's game between the Padres and Cubs is expected to produce 26.07 total bases, which is the most on Thursday's slate. Manny Machado has the best chance to record 2+ bases (45.1%).
| Park | Total | Away | Bases | Home | Bases | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wrigley Field | |||||||
| Yankee Stadium | |||||||
| Progressive Field |
| Team | Batter | Park | Opp | vs | Pitcher | Prob | BP | FD | B3 | MG | DK | CZ | ES | Bases | / Game | Bases | / Game | Bases | / Game | Bases | / Game | Total | / Pitch | Total | / Pitch | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD | Manny Machado | CHC | 6 | Taillon | 45.1% | +122 | +100 | +105 | +100 | +110 | +105 | +105 | 287 | 1.77 | 36 | 1.80 | 339.7 | 2.10 | 43.4 | 2.17 | 131 | 4.9% | 18 | 5.8% | ||||||
| DET | Kerry Carpenter | CLE | 7 | Cecconi | 44.4% | +125 | +125 | +155 | +145 | +135 | 231 | 1.67 | 25 | 1.25 | 259.1 | 1.88 | 29.4 | 1.47 | 106 | 5.6% | 13 | 4.4% | ||||||||
| SD | Luis Arraez | CHC | 9 | Taillon | 44.2% | +126 | +105 | +125 | +115 | +107 | +110 | +110 | 245 | 1.56 | 29 | 1.45 | 255.7 | 1.63 | 32.3 | 1.61 | 44 | 1.8% | 8 | 2.8% | ||||||
| SD | Jackson Merrill | CHC | 8 | Taillon | 42.8% | +134 | +110 | +110 | +105 | +120 | +110 | +110 | 208 | 1.78 | 54 | 2.70 | 238.3 | 2.04 | 59.7 | 2.99 | 110 | 6.4% | 28 | 8.4% | ||||||
| NYY | Aaron Judge | NYY | 7 | Early | 42.3% | +136 | -125 | -116 | -120 | -104 | -120 | -115 | 390 | 2.45 | 51 | 2.55 | 426.0 | 2.68 | 56.1 | 2.80 | 177 | 6.5% | 22 | 6.7% | ||||||
| CHC | Michael Busch | CHC | 10 | Darvish | 41.4% | +142 | +110 | +110 | +105 | +123 | +115 | +110 | 295 | 1.82 | 58 | 2.90 | 322.0 | 1.99 | 58.5 | 2.92 | 122 | 5.0% | 13 | 4.0% | ||||||
| SD | Xander Bogaerts | CHC | 6 | Taillon | 40.4% | +148 | +140 | +155 | +140 | +156 | +145 | +140 | 195 | 1.40 | 23 | 1.15 | 210.4 | 1.51 | 32.1 | 1.61 | 64 | 3.0% | 12 | 3.9% | ||||||
| CLE | Steven Kwan | CLE | 8 | Flaherty | 40.4% | +148 | +130 | +140 | +130 | +140 | +127 | +125 | 238 | 1.50 | 27 | 1.35 | 257.4 | 1.62 | 33.9 | 1.69 | 100 | 3.5% | 16 | 4.7% | ||||||
| SD | Fernando Tatis Jr. | CHC | 6 | Taillon | 40.2% | +149 | -110 | +100 | +100 | +100 | -102 | +100 | 266 | 1.68 | 36 | 1.80 | 282.5 | 1.79 | 35.0 | 1.75 | 151 | 5.7% | 18 | 5.5% | ||||||
| CHC | Nico Hoerner | CHC | 2 | Darvish | 40.0% | +150 | +125 | +125 | +115 | +126 | +120 | +120 | 253 | 1.54 | 35 | 1.75 | 255.1 | 1.56 | 36.3 | 1.81 | 59 | 2.4% | 5 | 1.5% | ||||||
| DET | Riley Greene | CLE | 6 | Cecconi | 39.3% | +154 | +125 | +150 | +151 | +135 | 308 | 1.87 | 25 | 1.25 | 342.1 | 2.07 | 32.5 | 1.62 | 122 | 4.3% | 10 | 2.9% | ||||||||
| CLE | Jose Ramirez | CLE | 9 | Flaherty | 39.0% | +156 | +100 | +120 | +110 | +110 | +107 | +110 | 299 | 1.86 | 29 | 1.45 | 311.0 | 1.93 | 31.0 | 1.55 | 138 | 5.1% | 15 | 3.7% | ||||||
| DET | Wenceel Perez | CLE | 5 | Cecconi | 38.2% | +162 | +125 | +145 | +130 | +140 | +140 | +135 | 151 | 1.45 | 14 | .70 | 150.1 | 1.44 | 20.6 | 1.03 | 53 | 3.3% | 6 | 1.9% | ||||||
| DET | Gleyber Torres | CLE | 7 | Cecconi | 37.8% | +165 | +120 | +150 | +140 | +133 | +135 | +135 | 219 | 1.43 | 29 | 1.45 | 251.6 | 1.64 | 30.9 | 1.54 | 195 | 6.9% | 30 | 7.6% | ||||||
| CLE | Kyle Manzardo | CLE | 3 | Flaherty | 36.5% | +174 | +130 | +145 | +147 | +150 | 214 | 1.48 | 20 | 1.00 | 230.0 | 1.59 | 28.2 | 1.41 | 86 | 4.2% | 6 | 2.1% | ||||||||
| DET | Dillon Dingler | CLE | 2 | Cecconi | 36.3% | +175 | +140 | +150 | +140 | +158 | +145 | +135 | 195 | 1.47 | 24 | 1.20 | 225.2 | 1.69 | 33.3 | 1.66 | 87 | 4.5% | 9 | 2.7% | ||||||
| NYY | Cody Bellinger | NYY | 3 | Early | 35.8% | +179 | +135 | +155 | +140 | +136 | +140 | +135 | 292 | 1.84 | 25 | 1.25 | 280.7 | 1.77 | 25.9 | 1.29 | 46 | 1.7% | 5 | 1.5% | ||||||
| DET | Zach McKinstry | CLE | 3 | Cecconi | 35.6% | +181 | +220 | +240 | +243 | +210 | 203 | 1.35 | 16 | .80 | 189.1 | 1.26 | 14.8 | .74 | 99 | 4.5% | 11 | 4.2% | ||||||||
| BOS | Trevor Story | NYY | 1 | Schlittler | 34.5% | +190 | +125 | +150 | +140 | +158 | +140 | +135 | 273 | 1.72 | 38 | 1.90 | 282.1 | 1.77 | 41.7 | 2.09 | 128 | 5.1% | 14 | 4.4% | ||||||
| NYY | Ben Rice | NYY | -1 | Early | 34.4% | +191 | +140 | +165 | +148 | +160 | 241 | 1.70 | 42 | 2.10 | 286.4 | 2.02 | 41.9 | 2.10 | 118 | 5.5% | 14 | 4.9% | ||||||||
| CHC | Carson Kelly | CHC | 2 | Darvish | 34.0% | +194 | +170 | +180 | +163 | +180 | 166 | 1.42 | 23 | 1.15 | 185.5 | 1.59 | 27.4 | 1.37 | 86 | 4.8% | 10 | 3.2% | ||||||||
| CLE | Gabriel Arias | CLE | -6 | Flaherty | 34.0% | +194 | +230 | +260 | +221 | +225 | 159 | 1.22 | 25 | 1.25 | 179.0 | 1.38 | 29.1 | 1.46 | 139 | 7.6% | 32 | 10.6% | ||||||||
| CHC | Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC | 3 | Darvish | 33.7% | +197 | +160 | +155 | +168 | +145 | 289 | 1.76 | 22 | 1.10 | 307.1 | 1.87 | 29.1 | 1.46 | 83 | 3.4% | 9 | 3.2% | ||||||||
| BOS | Masataka Yoshida | NYY | 5 | Schlittler | 33.7% | +197 | +150 | +155 | +154 | +145 | 77 | 1.33 | 33 | 1.65 | 90.7 | 1.56 | 34.7 | 1.74 | 22 | 3.0% | 8 | 3.3% | ||||||||
| CHC | Seiya Suzuki | CHC | 5 | Darvish | 33.2% | +201 | +140 | +145 | +135 | +146 | +135 | +135 | 292 | 1.84 | 46 | 2.30 | 326.7 | 2.05 | 46.4 | 2.32 | 100 | 3.5% | 6 | 1.7% | ||||||
| DET | Spencer Torkelson | CLE | -2 | Cecconi | 33.2% | +201 | +135 | +145 | +154 | +145 | 266 | 1.63 | 32 | 1.60 | 290.9 | 1.78 | 36.6 | 1.83 | 165 | 5.9% | 18 | 4.7% | ||||||||
| SD | Gavin Sheets | CHC | 4 | Taillon | 32.7% | +206 | +190 | +210 | +203 | +190 | 212 | 1.44 | 13 | .65 | 236.3 | 1.61 | 21.5 | 1.07 | 48 | 2.1% | 4 | 1.3% | ||||||||
| DET | Javier Baez | CLE | 0 | Cecconi | 32.2% | +211 | +190 | +200 | +197 | +175 | 180 | 1.37 | 29 | 1.45 | 185.7 | 1.42 | 32.9 | 1.65 | 51 | 3.1% | 4 | 1.6% | ||||||||
| CHC | Dansby Swanson | CHC | -1 | Darvish | 32.1% | +212 | +185 | +170 | +191 | +175 | 251 | 1.50 | 20 | 1.00 | 303.0 | 1.81 | 24.2 | 1.21 | 159 | 6.0% | 17 | 5.2% | ||||||||
| SD | Jake Cronenworth | CHC | 2 | Taillon | 31.4% | +218 | +200 | +200 | +200 | +200 | 158 | 1.14 | 14 | .70 | 162.8 | 1.18 | 24.1 | 1.21 | 98 | 4.5% | 13 | 4.3% |