Bases

<< 10/01 October 2, 2025 10/03 >>

The Ballpark Pal sims project 74 total bases over 3 games

Today's game between the Padres and Cubs is expected to produce 26.07 total bases, which is the most on Thursday's slate. Manny Machado has the best chance to record 2+ bases (45.1%).

Park Total Away Bases Home Bases
Wrigley Field SD CHC
Yankee Stadium BOSNYY
Progressive Field DETCLE

Batters

Pitchers

Lineups

Bullpens

Actual Expected Meatballs
Team Batter Park Opp vs Pitcher Prob BP FD B3 MG DK CZ ES Bases / Game Bases / Game Bases / Game Bases / Game Total / Pitch Total / Pitch
SD Manny MachadoCHC6Taillon45.1%+122+100+105+100+110+105+1052871.77361.80339.72.1043.42.171314.9%185.8%
DETKerry CarpenterCLE7Cecconi44.4%+125+125+155+145+1352311.67251.25259.11.8829.41.471065.6%134.4%
SD Luis ArraezCHC9Taillon44.2%+126+105+125+115+107+110+1102451.56291.45255.71.6332.31.61441.8%82.8%
SD Jackson MerrillCHC8Taillon42.8%+134+110+110+105+120+110+1102081.78542.70238.32.0459.72.991106.4%288.4%
NYYAaron JudgeNYY7Early42.3%+136-125-116-120-104-120-1153902.45512.55426.02.6856.12.801776.5%226.7%
CHCMichael BuschCHC10Darvish41.4%+142+110+110+105+123+115+1102951.82582.90322.01.9958.52.921225.0%134.0%
SD Xander BogaertsCHC6Taillon40.4%+148+140+155+140+156+145+1401951.40231.15210.41.5132.11.61643.0%123.9%
CLESteven KwanCLE8Flaherty40.4%+148+130+140+130+140+127+1252381.50271.35257.41.6233.91.691003.5%164.7%
SD Fernando Tatis Jr.CHC6Taillon40.2%+149-110+100+100+100-102+1002661.68361.80282.51.7935.01.751515.7%185.5%
CHCNico HoernerCHC2Darvish40.0%+150+125+125+115+126+120+1202531.54351.75255.11.5636.31.81592.4%51.5%
DETRiley GreeneCLE6Cecconi39.3%+154+125+150+151+1353081.87251.25342.12.0732.51.621224.3%102.9%
CLEJose RamirezCLE9Flaherty39.0%+156+100+120+110+110+107+1102991.86291.45311.01.9331.01.551385.1%153.7%
DETWenceel PerezCLE5Cecconi38.2%+162+125+145+130+140+140+1351511.4514.70150.11.4420.61.03533.3%61.9%
DETGleyber TorresCLE7Cecconi37.8%+165+120+150+140+133+135+1352191.43291.45251.61.6430.91.541956.9%307.6%
CLEKyle ManzardoCLE3Flaherty36.5%+174+130+145+147+1502141.48201.00230.01.5928.21.41864.2%62.1%
DETDillon DinglerCLE2Cecconi36.3%+175+140+150+140+158+145+1351951.47241.20225.21.6933.31.66874.5%92.7%
NYYCody BellingerNYY3Early35.8%+179+135+155+140+136+140+1352921.84251.25280.71.7725.91.29461.7%51.5%
DETZach McKinstryCLE3Cecconi35.6%+181+220+240+243+2102031.3516.80189.11.2614.8.74994.5%114.2%
BOSTrevor StoryNYY1Schlittler34.5%+190+125+150+140+158+140+1352731.72381.90282.11.7741.72.091285.1%144.4%
NYYBen RiceNYY-1Early34.4%+191+140+165+148+1602411.70422.10286.42.0241.92.101185.5%144.9%
CHCCarson KellyCHC2Darvish34.0%+194+170+180+163+1801661.42231.15185.51.5927.41.37864.8%103.2%
CLEGabriel AriasCLE-6Flaherty34.0%+194+230+260+221+2251591.22251.25179.01.3829.11.461397.6%3210.6%
CHCPete Crow-ArmstrongCHC3Darvish33.7%+197+160+155+168+1452891.76221.10307.11.8729.11.46833.4%93.2%
BOSMasataka YoshidaNYY5Schlittler33.7%+197+150+155+154+145771.33331.6590.71.5634.71.74223.0%83.3%
CHCSeiya SuzukiCHC5Darvish33.2%+201+140+145+135+146+135+1352921.84462.30326.72.0546.42.321003.5%61.7%
DETSpencer TorkelsonCLE-2Cecconi33.2%+201+135+145+154+1452661.63321.60290.91.7836.61.831655.9%184.7%
SD Gavin SheetsCHC4Taillon32.7%+206+190+210+203+1902121.4413.65236.31.6121.51.07482.1%41.3%
DETJavier BaezCLE0Cecconi32.2%+211+190+200+197+1751801.37291.45185.71.4232.91.65513.1%41.6%
CHCDansby SwansonCHC-1Darvish32.1%+212+185+170+191+1752511.50201.00303.01.8124.21.211596.0%175.2%
SD Jake CronenworthCHC2Taillon31.4%+218+200+200+200+2001581.1414.70162.81.1824.11.21984.5%134.3%