This report provides model estimates for how park factors will impact each game on the slate (details of our methodology are here). These numbers represent the combination of park and weather (not just weather). Wind affects each park differently, which this model does take into account. For example, the open-air nature of Wrigley Field is highly sensitive to the speed and direction of the wind on a given day. Parks with tall stadium walls like Milwaukee and Toronto are barely affected by wind, even if it's blowing hard. Percentages and +/- numbers are relative to the MLB average. For example, Coors Field in the example below expects a 29% boost in runs, which equals about 2.65 runs more than league average.

This report examines the physical quality of pitches thrown today using our Pitch Expectation Model. It assigns an expected outcome to each pitch based on its physical characteristics, offering a baseline for a pitcher's true abilities which is often more predictive than recent outcomes.

This report focuses on the batted ball outcomes allowed by each pitcher on today's slate. Using an expectations model to control for park and luck factors, it provides a more direct—though sometimes less predictive—indication of a pitcher's performance. Percentages represent outcomes on a plate-appearance basis.

This report presents individual projections for each pitcher on today's slate. These projections come directly from game simulations that incorporate all available information on the pitcher, opponent, park, and weather conditions.

This report lists players notable for home run potential on today's slate. The "Most Likely to Homer" section identifies hitters with the best chance of homering per simulations, while the "Solid Matchups" section highlights those with a notable boost in home run likelihood, and the "Outlier Odds" section displays odds deviating from the consensus.

This report gives a general view of today's slate from a home run perspective. The top three parks for home runs are featured (with weather adjustments), and home run distributions for each game are provided. Sections like "Most Likely to HR" and "Projected Most HRs Allowed" come directly from our simulations.

This report overviews today's batter versus pitcher matchups. The upper section lists players with advantageous matchups, sorted by runs created—a weighted average of scoring outcomes—while the lower section highlights players with strong historical success against the opposing starter.

This report presents simulation results for every game on today's slate from a sides perspective. It includes win percentages, implied odds (without vig), and averages for runs, hits, home runs, strikeouts, and walks.

This report details simulation results for every game on today's slate from a totals perspective. Percentages indicate the probability of going over specified run totals, with averages derived from simulation outcomes.

This report summarizes the top players on today's slate by position from a DFS perspective. FD (FanDuel) and DK (DraftKings) averages are provided along with "Boom" and "Bust" probabilities derived from game simulations.

This report summarizes which players are most likely to achieve various outcomes on today's slate, with odds derived from our simulation probabilities.

This report lists the odds that deviate most from the book consensus and our simulations. The metric "% vs book consensus" represents the difference between implied probabilities from various sources, with live odds provided by OddsJam.

This report lists players who have been performing above their typical level over the past 30 days. Players are ranked by Runs Created (RC), a weighted metric that reflects how scoring outcomes contribute to runs.

This report lists players performing below their typical level over the past 30 days, ranked by Runs Created (RC) with adjustments reflecting a significant drop in performance.

This report identifies players who have recently benefited from favorable conditions. Luck is defined as the difference between actual and expected outcomes.

This report lists players who have experienced poor fortune, where their actual outcomes fall significantly short of expectations.

This report ranks all 30 MLB bullpens over the past 30 games based on expected runs per plate appearance, with additional metrics for hits, home runs, strikeouts, and walks.

This report ranks all 30 MLB batting lineups from the past 30 games using expected runs per plate appearance and other key offensive metrics.

This report ranks all 30 starting pitcher rotations from the past 30 games by expected runs per plate appearance, with additional breakdowns for various pitching outcomes.

This report ranks all 30 MLB teams based on net expected runs per plate appearance (offense minus defense), with separate rankings for batting, starting pitching, and relief pitching.

This report ranks the top 30 hitters from the past 30 games using expected runs per plate appearance along with other performance metrics.

This report ranks the top 30 starting pitchers from the past 30 games based on expected runs per plate appearance and additional pitching metrics.

This report ranks the top 30 relief pitchers from the past 30 games by expected runs per plate appearance and other key indicators.