First Inning

<< 10/01 October 2, 2025 10/03 >>

Last Updated: 12:21 PM

Today's game between the Padres and Cubs in Chicago has a 48.7% chance to produce a run in the first inning, which is the highest on Thursday's slate. The Red Sox / Yankees game at Yankee Stadium has the lowest probability (44.7%)

Park Teams YRFI YRFI Away YRFI YRFI Home YRFI YRFI Away Away L5 L10 L25 L10 L25 L50 Home Home L5 L10 L25 L10 L25 L50
Wrigley Field @49.1%+10330.7%+22527.1%+269Darvish4/56/1011/255/1010/2514/50Taillon1/53/104/253/108/2513/50
Progressive Field @47.1%+11228.3%+25326.4%+279Flaherty1/52/106/253/106/2511/50Cecconi1/52/104/255/1010/2518/50
Yankee Stadium @45.1%+12123.3%+32828.2%+254Early1/41/41/42/107/2515/50Schlittler2/53/106/146/1014/2526/50

Among Detroit's first 5 batters, Kerry Carpenter is most likely to reach base (33% chance) while Spencer Torkelson is least likely (29%). Steven Kwan has the best chance for Cleveland (36%) while Chase DeLauter has the worst (25%).

Slade Cecconi
vs Tigers
Jack Flaherty
vs Guardians
GamePk H Batter OB HR H Batter OB HR
813059RFernando Tatis Jr.31%4%1LMichael Busch36%6%
813065LJarren Duran32%2%1LTrent Grisham34%3%
813073RGleyber Torres34%3%1LSteven Kwan37%2%
813059LLuis Arraez34%2%2RNico Hoerner29%3%
813065RTrevor Story32%3%2RAaron Judge38%4%
813073LKerry Carpenter32%5%2LGeorge Valera31%2%
813059RManny Machado31%4%3SIan Happ30%4%
813065RAlex Bregman36%1%3LCody Bellinger32%3%
813073SWenceel Perez32%3%3SJose Ramirez37%3%
813059LJackson Merrill31%4%4LKyle Tucker33%4%
813065LMasataka Yoshida35%2%4RGiancarlo Stanton31%4%
813073RSpencer Torkelson29%4%4LKyle Manzardo32%4%
813059RXander Bogaerts31%3%5RSeiya Suzuki33%5%
813065RCeddanne Rafaela30%2%5LBen Rice30%4%
813073LRiley Greene32%5%5LChase DeLauter27%2%