Leans in favor of Castellanos
Nick Castellanos has a 28.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 2.4% lower than Castellanos's typical expectations, and 1.4% lower than batters facing Nelson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2/3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 28.6% | 24.9% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 3.7% | 24.0% |
| Castellanos | -2.4 | -0.7 | -0.3 | +1.3 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.3 |
| Nelson | -1.4 | +1.8 | +0.2 | +1.4 | +0.2 | -3.2 | +3.4 |
Main
On the Way to the Plate
Contact & Outcomes