Leans in favor of Nelson
Victor Mesa Jr. has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryne Nelson, which is 0.7% lower than Mesa Jr.'s typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Nelson.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2/3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 27.6% | 22.6% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 13.6% | 5.0% | 20.8% |
| Mesa Jr. | -0.7 | +1.8 | -0.3 | +1.7 | +0.4 | -2.5 | -4.7 |
| Nelson | -2.4 | -0.6 | +0.2 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -1.8 | +0.2 |
Main
On the Way to the Plate
Contact & Outcomes