Matchups
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<< 9/21 September 22, 2025 9/23 >>

Last Updated: 12:07 PM

The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.

How to read this data

B	P	Tm	Batter	vs	Pitcher	RC	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	Batter	Pitcher	Starter	Power	Contact	All	GameDescription	OppositeHand
R	R	SF	Willy Adames	10	McGreevy	24	13	27	35	-12	-34	4.1	6.2	16.6	10.5	18.6	6	6	1	1	0	0	0	0	.167	.167	.667	6	6	2.0	0.8	0.8	0.3	0	0	.325	.325	.896	642715	700241	1	1	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
L	R	SF	Rafael Devers	10	McGreevy	18	-17	51	14	3	-36	3.3	6.9	13.6	13.8	19.6	6	5	3	2	0	1	1	1	.600	.667	1.800	6	5	3.2	2.1	0.7	0.4	1	1	.639	.700	2.071	646240	700241	1	1	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
R	R	STL	Yohel Pozo	4	Verlander	10	6	13	7	-8	-17	2.8	6.3	16.9	4.5	15.5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	650968	434378	0	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
R	R	SF	Matt Chapman	10	McGreevy	17	10	4	35	-11	-35	3.6	4.5	18.7	12.4	15.1	6	6	1	0	0	1	0	1	.167	.167	.167	6	6	1.9	0.0	0.2	1.6	0	1	.312	.312	.369	656305	700241	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
L	R	STL	Lars Nootbaar	7	Verlander	3	-20	33	0	-1	-16	2.2	6.1	13.9	12.3	18.5	6	6	2	0	0	2	0	1	.333	.333	.333	6	6	2.0	0.6	0.3	1.1	0	1	.331	.331	.664	663457	434378	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
R	R	STL	Jose Fermin	3	Verlander	4	-9	9	9	-11	-22	1.5	4.9	17.1	9.4	14.0	4	4	3	0	2	1	0	1	.750	.750	1.250	4	4	2.4	0.0	1.0	1.4	0	1	.605	.605	.892	665877	434378	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
R	R	SF	Jerar Encarnacion	5	McGreevy	23	13	34	10	-16	-34	2.9	6.7	16.4	5.5	19.5	6	6	0	0	0	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	6	6	1.8	0.6	0.4	0.8	0	2	.300	.300	.671	666464	700241	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
L	R	STL	Nolan Gorman	-7	Verlander	-7	-18	17	-18	-6	-1	2.7	5.3	8.9	9.4	37.7	6	5	2	2	0	0	1	3	.400	.500	1.600	6	5	2.0	1.9	0.1	0.0	1	3	.392	.493	1.530	669357	434378	0	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
R	R	SF	Casey Schmitt	7	McGreevy	20	10	13	21	-13	-39	3.5	6.3	17.3	5.9	15.7	7	7	3	0	2	1	0	2	.429	.429	.714	7	7	2.9	0.0	0.9	2.0	0	2	.409	.409	.547	669477	700241	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
R	R	STL	Ivan Herrera	8	Verlander	2	-16	17	5	-3	-12	2.6	6.3	15.7	11.4	19.1	8	6	2	1	0	1	2	1	.333	.500	.833	8	6	2.5	1.0	0.0	1.5	2	1	.418	.563	.912	671056	434378	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
R	R	SF	Heliot Ramos	8	McGreevy	28	-4	24	38	-14	-38	2.4	6.2	21.1	6.1	15.5	6	6	4	1	0	3	0	1	.667	.667	1.167	6	6	2.0	0.6	0.2	1.1	0	1	.329	.329	.690	671218	700241	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
S	R	SF	Patrick Bailey	8	McGreevy	24	-5	26	25	-4	-41	2.0	6.2	19.1	8.3	15.3	4	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	.500	.500	.500	4	4	2.0	0.0	0.1	2.0	0	0	.510	.510	.532	672275	700241	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
L	R	STL	Alec Burleson	8	Verlander	-1	-18	9	-1	2	-18	2.5	6.3	16.8	8.5	12.8	6	6	4	1	0	3	0	0	.667	.667	1.167	6	6	3.3	0.1	0.9	2.2	0	0	.548	.548	.792	676475	434378	1	0	1	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
R	R	SF	Christian Koss	3	McGreevy	17	3	6	17	-8	-34	2.6	5.2	17.3	5.5	17.4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	683766	700241	0	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
R	R	STL	Pedro Pages	-4	Verlander	14	-4	15	8	5	-13	2.1	6.0	13.9	6.5	26.0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	3	3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.2	0	1	.059	.059	.061	686780	434378	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
L	R	STL	Victor Scott II	3	Verlander	1	-40	30	-5	7	-14	1.4	7.1	13.6	9.6	20.6	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	.250	.250	.250	4	4	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0	0	.244	.244	.247	687363	434378	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
L	R	SF	Grant McCray	-5	McGreevy	37	-10	34	30	-11	-30	2.4	5.2	13.7	6.0	28.8	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	.333	.333	.333	3	3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0	2	.103	.103	.107	687529	700241	0	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
L	R	SF	Drew Gilbert	6	McGreevy	15	-19	34	14	-8	-46	1.8	5.9	17.7	7.9	11.9	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	.000	.500	.000	4	2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	2	0	.039	.519	.062	687551	700241	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
R	R	STL	Jordan Walker	-3	Verlander	3	-18	13	1	3	-7	2.4	5.2	14.1	8.4	29.3	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.250	.000	4	3	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.4	1	0	.145	.358	.146	691023	434378	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
R	R	STL	Thomas Saggese	1	Verlander	11	-10	28	3	-1	-13	2.0	6.5	16.7	6.8	24.7	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	5	5	0.6	0.0	0.2	0.4	0	0	.121	.121	.189	695336	434378	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	0
L	R	STL	Jimmy Crooks	-8	Verlander	2	-18	18	-6	-8	-12	1.9	5.0	11.3	6.3	28.4	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.003	.003	.003	699625	434378	0	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
L	R	STL	Nathan Church	-7	Verlander	-3	-23	6	-5	-4	-10	1.7	4.2	13.3	6.0	26.4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	701675	434378	0	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
L	R	SF	Bryce Eldridge	-2	McGreevy	18	-11	20	21	-11	-34	2.3	4.9	13.5	9.0	22.5	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.333	.000	3	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1	0	.017	.345	.026	805811	700241	1	0	0	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
L	R	SF	Jung Hoo Lee	9	McGreevy	2	-36	26	6	-21	-39	1.1	7.0	21.0	6.6	7.7	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	.500	.500	.500	2	2	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.9	0	0	.489	.489	.514	808982	700241	0	0	1	1	Cardinals @ Giants	1
S	L	ATL	Jurickson Profar	10	Gore	21	4	-7	7	22	-17	3.1	4.2	14.4	17.6	15.3	11	10	1	0	0	1	1	4	.100	.182	.100	11	10	1.1	0.0	0.0	1.0	1	4	.105	.187	.109	595777	669022	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
L	L	ATL	Matt Olson	9	Gore	23	2	-9	8	30	-6	3.3	5.1	13.2	17.1	24.6	23	21	5	0	3	2	2	8	.238	.304	.381	23	21	4.6	0.7	1.4	2.5	2	8	.220	.288	.392	621566	669022	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	0
R	L	ATL	Eli White	-2	Gore	18	-10	1	8	19	-1	2.4	5.3	15.3	7.7	29.8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	642201	669022	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
S	L	ATL	Ozzie Albies	9	Gore	22	10	12	16	4	-21	3.0	5.9	19.0	8.2	12.6	14	14	5	0	2	3	0	1	.357	.357	.500	14	14	4.3	0.0	1.1	3.1	0	1	.304	.304	.401	645277	669022	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
R	L	ATL	Ronald Acuna Jr.	10	Gore	25	-4	0	-1	35	-13	3.4	4.2	13.5	19.8	23.0	11	7	3	2	1	0	4	1	.429	.636	1.429	11	7	4.0	1.9	1.4	0.7	4	1	.577	.731	1.624	660670	669022	0	1	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
R	L	WAS	Andres Chaparro	-6	Sale	-1	-29	-8	9	0	25	2.4	4.3	14.7	6.5	33.9	9	9	2	0	1	1	0	1	.222	.222	.333	9	9	2.3	0.0	0.5	1.8	0	1	.260	.260	.328	665953	519242	1	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
L	L	WAS	Luis Garcia	-6	Sale	-13	-40	-7	-3	-11	50	2.0	4.7	16.5	5.0	29.8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	671277	519242	0	0	1	1	Nationals @ Braves	0
L	L	ATL	Michael Harris II	8	Gore	22	-2	-13	32	17	-10	3.1	5.1	23.6	4.8	18.9	17	16	4	2	1	1	1	1	.250	.294	.688	17	16	6.5	1.6	2.2	2.8	1	1	.409	.444	.852	671739	669022	0	0	1	1	Nationals @ Braves	0
R	L	ATL	Ha-seong Kim	10	Gore	21	-14	6	6	32	-11	1.8	5.5	17.6	14.7	15.8	9	7	1	0	0	1	2	2	.143	.333	.143	9	7	1.2	0.0	0.0	1.1	2	2	.167	.352	.175	673490	669022	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
L	L	WAS	C.J. Abrams	-6	Sale	-9	-25	-1	2	-30	36	2.5	5.5	13.8	5.0	32.9	6	6	1	0	1	0	0	3	.167	.167	.333	6	6	1.2	0.0	0.7	0.5	0	3	.208	.208	.338	682928	519242	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	0
S	L	WAS	Nasim Nunez	-6	Sale	-2	-21	-18	16	-24	26	1.8	3.2	17.0	8.4	30.7	9	7	2	1	0	1	2	1	.286	.444	.714	9	7	2.5	1.3	0.4	0.9	2	1	.354	.498	.956	683083	519242	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
R	L	WAS	Dylan Crews	-3	Sale	-1	-23	-4	13	-25	32	2.4	4.7	18.1	6.4	29.1	6	6	2	1	0	1	0	0	.333	.333	.833	6	6	3.3	1.0	0.5	1.8	0	0	.547	.547	1.124	686611	519242	1	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
L	L	ATL	Drake Baldwin	9	Gore	14	10	-20	9	22	-5	3.4	4.6	17.9	11.4	17.3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	1.000	.000	1	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1	0	.000	.000	.000	686948	669022	0	0	1	1	Nationals @ Braves	0
L	L	WAS	Robert Hassell III	-10	Sale	-14	-33	-4	1	-33	33	1.8	3.9	12.0	5.0	43.6	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	690987	519242	1	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	0
R	L	WAS	Brady House	-7	Sale	-2	-22	2	2	-21	30	2.0	4.7	16.6	4.8	36.9	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	.000	.200	.000	5	4	1.1	0.0	0.0	1.1	1	2	.265	.412	.266	691781	519242	1	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
L	L	WAS	James Wood	-7	Sale	-8	-18	0	4	-32	29	2.4	5.2	12.5	8.1	43.0	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	.333	.333	.333	3	3	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	0	0	.347	.347	.354	695578	519242	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	0
L	L	WAS	Daylen Lile	-4	Sale	-13	-30	-14	1	-29	47	2.2	5.1	17.1	4.9	29.1	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	3	3	0.5	0.0	0.1	0.4	0	0	.155	.155	.181	695734	519242	0	0	1	1	Nationals @ Braves	0
R	L	WAS	Jacob Young	2	Sale	6	-39	25	13	-30	24	1.0	6.5	20.0	6.0	23.6	11	11	2	0	1	1	0	4	.182	.182	.273	11	11	2.9	0.2	1.3	1.4	0	4	.266	.266	.442	696285	519242	1	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
R	L	ATL	Nacho Alvarez Jr.	-5	Gore	6	-21	-18	6	7	-1	1.6	3.7	14.8	8.9	22.6	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	2	.000	.333	.000	3	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1	2	.000	.000	.000	805373	669022	0	0	0	1	Nationals @ Braves	1
R	R	SD	Manny Machado	-2	Peralta	-27	14	-7	-37	17	44	3.9	5.3	9.6	10.0	34.5	10	9	2	0	0	2	1	3	.222	.300	.222	10	9	2.5	0.5	0.1	1.8	1	3	.275	.347	.468	592518	642547	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
L	R	MIL	Christian Yelich	1	Pivetta	-21	16	-12	-19	3	23	3.3	3.9	12.3	12.3	31.9	8	7	3	0	1	2	1	1	.429	.500	.571	8	7	3.8	0.1	1.4	2.3	1	1	.538	.596	.788	592885	601713	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
L	R	SD	Jake Cronenworth	-3	Peralta	-29	-9	3	-34	13	48	2.1	5.0	9.3	15.1	33.8	7	7	2	1	0	1	0	1	.286	.286	.714	7	7	3.2	1.1	0.4	1.7	0	1	.451	.451	.978	630105	642547	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
L	R	MIL	Jake Bauers	-5	Pivetta	-34	-11	-10	-21	-11	37	2.7	4.5	10.4	11.8	37.8	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	1	.250	.400	.250	5	4	1.4	0.0	0.7	0.8	1	1	.358	.486	.543	641343	601713	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
R	R	SD	Ramon Laureano	-3	Peralta	-29	9	6	-39	12	51	3.7	5.5	9.0	10.2	38.9	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	.000	.333	.000	3	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1	1	.000	.000	.000	657656	642547	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
L	R	SD	Gavin Sheets	2	Peralta	-22	-5	19	-29	8	45	2.7	5.9	11.0	10.7	27.2	9	9	1	0	0	1	0	1	.111	.111	.111	9	9	1.3	0.0	0.8	0.5	0	1	.149	.149	.253	657757	642547	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
R	R	MIL	William Contreras	8	Pivetta	-15	18	6	-21	2	24	3.9	5.6	12.5	11.8	25.6	9	8	1	0	1	0	1	5	.125	.222	.250	9	8	1.0	0.0	0.9	0.1	1	5	.127	.224	.256	661388	601713	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
S	R	MIL	Blake Perkins	-8	Pivetta	-40	-9	-26	-30	5	41	2.1	3.5	9.2	11.9	38.7	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.2	0	0	.156	.156	.246	663368	601713	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
R	R	SD	Fernando Tatis Jr.	-1	Peralta	-26	13	-2	-37	13	46	3.5	5.1	9.4	11.8	32.7	6	5	0	0	0	0	1	4	.000	.167	.000	6	5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	1	4	.017	.181	.017	665487	642547	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
R	R	SD	Freddy Fermin	-6	Peralta	-26	10	16	-27	5	59	2.1	6.2	11.5	6.3	34.7	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	3	3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0	0	.103	.103	.117	666023	642547	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
L	R	MIL	Brice Turang	2	Pivetta	-22	-3	1	-18	0	24	3.2	5.8	11.1	11.2	33.7	8	6	1	0	0	1	2	3	.167	.375	.167	8	6	1.1	0.2	0.6	0.3	2	3	.178	.384	.403	668930	601713	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
R	R	SD	Mason McCoy	-10	Peralta	-47	21	-6	-43	4	47	2.4	3.8	6.9	8.0	47.9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	669200	642547	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
S	R	SD	Bryce Johnson	-6	Peralta	-27	23	-1	-32	20	42	2.6	4.9	11.2	7.6	34.4	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.1	0	0	.153	.153	.317	669369	642547	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
R	R	MIL	Andrew Vaughn	6	Pivetta	-17	15	3	-25	-2	19	3.7	6.0	12.5	8.8	22.5	9	7	2	0	0	2	2	3	.286	.444	.286	9	7	1.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	2	3	.140	.331	.143	683734	601713	1	0	1	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
L	R	MIL	Sal Frelick	3	Pivetta	-16	8	-2	-14	-2	27	2.2	5.1	14.1	8.7	17.9	5	5	2	0	0	2	0	1	.400	.400	.400	5	5	1.9	0.0	0.0	1.9	0	1	.379	.379	.388	686217	601713	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
R	R	MIL	Joey Ortiz	-3	Pivetta	-23	14	-23	-14	-3	35	1.6	3.9	16.8	6.7	21.7	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	.250	.250	.500	4	4	1.4	0.0	0.1	1.4	0	0	.359	.359	.375	687401	601713	1	0	1	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
R	R	MIL	Jackson Chourio	-4	Pivetta	-30	4	-23	-23	-3	30	3.6	4.6	11.4	6.4	31.1	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	3	3	1.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	0	0	.337	.337	.474	694192	601713	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	0
L	R	SD	Will Wagner	-4	Peralta	-25	10	11	-31	21	50	2.0	5.1	11.4	11.0	33.7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	695238	642547	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1
L	R	SD	Jackson Merrill	2	Peralta	-22	-9	18	-28	11	34	3.6	7.2	10.2	8.2	31.9	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	.250	.250	.250	4	4	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.5	0	2	.122	.122	.126	701538	642547	1	1	0	1	Brewers @ Padres	1

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