Park Factors
Last Updated: 1:35 AM
Hot weather is in store across most of the league on Friday with 8 out of 13 outdoor games expecting temps above 80° and 5 games above 90°. Some of the best weather is in The Bronx where the high 80s will be paired with 10 mph wind blowing slightly out to right field. Yankee Stadium is receptive to wind and the conditions on Friday make the short porch even more reachable than usual. Similar conditions are forecasted for Baltimore, although with single digit wind speeds.
Boston and Cincinnati are two of the top run-producing venues on their own, and they'll both get a boost from plus hitting conditions on Friday with temps expected around 90°. The additional runs at Fenway typically come from more hits inside the yard, but the park is rated positive for homers this evening as well. For GABP, it's all about the small dimensions as the positive run environment there is solely based on producing more home runs.
Oracle Park is back in action with its typical forecast. It will be in the high 50s in San Francisco with double-digit wind blowing out. Frequent readers of this page know that the out-blowing wind pattern occurs nearly every game at Oracle, but it doesn't translate to the field as expected. The park was built to neutralize wind and remains a bottom-five park for home runs each year despite the "always-out" forecast.
There's lots of rain in the forecast on Friday, although it doesn't appear that many games are severely threatened by a PPD. Those parks with delay risk are highlighted in pink below.
| Game | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | Receptive | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Humidity | Pressure | Outfield Size |
Altitude | Typical Flight |
Contact Rate |
Contact Quality |
Description | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fenway Park 7:10 | +8% | +19% | +15% | +22% | High | 11  | 8 | 7 | 86° | 84° | 82° | 59% | 1010 | Variable | 20 | -3 | Good | Great | A one-of-a-kind shape with a deep right field and a 37-foot-tall fence guarding the extremely shallow left side. Similarly, the 18-foot-tall fence in center offsets the close distance to home plate. While the tall fences help neutralize homers, they are excellent targets for singles and doubles. | +0.19 | +0.67 | +1.63 | +1.91 | |||||
Great American BP 7:10 | +34% | +6% | -2% | +19% | Low | 2  | 2 | 2  | 91° | 90° | 88° | 59% | 1015 | Small | 683 | +0 | Bad | Avg | The smallest outfield in MLB, offset partially by a taller left-field wall. Stadium architecture dampens the effect from wind but hot days can turn GABP into a home run paradise. | +0.77 | +0.22 | -0.19 | +1.67 | |||||
Oriole Park 7:05 | +15% | +8% | +7% | +13% | Med-High | 4  | 5  | 7  | 93° | 91° | 90° | 52% | 1014 | Variable | 130 | -1 | Great | Good | A uniquely-shaped field with a home-run-friendly right side. The left-field corner is particularly deep while most of the outfield perimeter is closer than average. A 21-foot-tall fence compensates for the short distance down the right field line. | +0.33 | +0.27 | +0.76 | +1.18 | |||||
PNC Park 6:40 | +10% | +11% | +4% | +13% | Med-High | 6  | 4 | 3 | 86° | 84° | 84° | 70% | 1016 | Variable | 743 | +5 | Good | Bad | An asymmetrical venue with an extremely deep left field fence. Tall fences guard against an otherwise shallow outfield. The 21-foot-tall fence down the right field line makes a good target for extra base hits in the yard. | +0.23 | +0.38 | +0.39 | +1.11 | |||||
Yankee Stadium 7:05 | +39% | -11% | -2% | +12% | High | 9 | 10 | 7 | 88° | 86° | 86° | 65% | 1013 | Variable | 54 | -6 | Avg | Great | A rounded asymmetrical outfield with a very shallow right field wall. The short porch is balanced out by a larger-than-average left field, though still very short to the foul pole on that side. | +0.87 | -0.37 | -0.18 | +1.09 | |||||
Target Field 8:10 | -1% | +11% | +5% | +9% | Medium | 7  | 6 | 6 | 82° | 81° | 79° | 62% | 1013 | Medium | 812 | +0 | Avg | Good | A slightly asymmetric outfield with a deeper-than-average left side. The more shallow right side is guarded by a 23-foot-tall fence with a unique balcony overhanging the field. | -0.02 | +0.39 | +0.57 | +0.80 | |||||
Comerica Park 7:10 | -2% | +4% | +11% | +7% | High | 2  | 4 | 5 | 84° | 82° | 81° | 66% | 1015 | Large | 596 | -3 | Avg | Avg | A challenging venue for home runs with a very deep center field. The entire left side is deeper than average and the 15-foot-tall fence in right further complicates things for hitters. Batter contact is better than most parks, possibly aided by a clean batter's eye. | -0.04 | +0.15 | +1.22 | +0.65 | |||||
Rate Field 7:40 | +25% | -20% | -1% | +2% | Med-High | 5 | 4 | 3 | 77° | 75° | 73° | 84% | 1015 | Small | 596 | -3 | Bad | Avg | The smallest outfield in MLB. Shallow in every direction. Not nearly as wind-prone as its Wrigley neighbor, but can be susceptible to homers - especially on hot days. | +0.56 | -0.70 | -0.06 | +0.20 | |||||
Angel Stadium 9:38 | +15% | -6% | -3% | +2% | Consistent | 9  | 8 | 7  | 73° | 70° | 68° | 62% | 1014 | Small | 160 | +5 | Avg | Good | Horizontally shaped to the extreme. Deep corners and a very close center field fence. Consistently mild weather with a typical out-blowing wind pattern. | +0.33 | -0.19 | -0.33 | +0.14 | |||||
American Family Fld 4:10 | +21% | -6% | -14% | -1% | Low | 8 | 7 | 6 | 77° | 77° | 75° | 73% | 1017 | Medium | 593 | +3 | Poor | Good | A retractable-roof venue with a zig-zag outfield. Deep to each side but shallow in the gaps and to center field. The horizontal shape reduces the number of hits that fall into play. | +0.48 | -0.20 | -1.44 | -0.06 | |||||
Globe Life Field 8:05 | +5% | -10% | -3% | -3% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Medium | 616 | +8 | Avg | Great | A retractable roof venue with a zig-zag outfield. The left side is particularly deep while the right is better primed for homers. | +0.12 | -0.33 | -0.31 | -0.26 | ||||||||||||
Busch Stadium 7:15 | -5% | -11% | +5% | -5% | Med-High | 9  | 10 | 10 | 86° | 84° | 84° | 91% | 1014 | Large | 455 | +3 | Good | Avg | A large, symmetrical outfield with deep corners and gaps. The center field fence is a few feet closer than the MLB standard. | -0.11 | -0.37 | +0.54 | -0.48 | |||||
Oracle Park 10:15 | -28% | +1% | +9% | -6% | Consistent | 14 | 13 | 12 | 59° | 59° | 59° | 91% | 1016 | Variable | 63 | 0 | Good | Poor | A uniquely shaped field with a 24 foot-tall fence guarding a very shallow right-field corner. Straight-away center is close to home plate but extends to an extremely deep right-field gap. Cool temperatures are the norm and the ever-present out-blowing wind is neutralized by the stadium architecture. | -0.63 | +0.04 | +1.00 | -0.51 | |||||
Daikin Park 8:10 | -1% | -8% | -5% | -7% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Variable | 38 | 0 | Bad | Poor | A retractable-roof venue with strict rules for allowing an open roof. A one-of-a-kind shape with a particularly shallow left-field fence. Plays deep to center and short to right. | -0.02 | -0.27 | -0.58 | -0.66 | ||||||||||||
