Park Factors

<< 9/05 September 6, 2025 9/07 >>

Last Updated: 1:30 AM

Temps in the 60s and 70s are expected for most games on Saturday, aside from both versions of Yankee Stadium where it will be in the 80s. Conditions at the replica field in Tampa this evening will mirror those in The Bronx this afternoon as the heat will be paired with moderate wind blowing out to left field. The stadium/weather combo at each venue amounts to about 0.9 additional home runs vs the MLB average (+40%).

Cooler temperatures are expected in the Midwest today with Detroit, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, and Chicago all expecting temperatures in the 60s. The out-blowing wind at Wrigley isn't quite as appealing as it may normally be as it's mostly left-to-right (only slightly out) and counteracted by the cooler temperature.

Coors Field will get its second negative weather day in a row. Although it's still the best spot for offense on Saturday, the lower humidity and in-blowing wind are pushing it down below its baseline for Padres / Rockies this evening. Coors isn't that receptive to wind, but the 15 mph blowing in this evening is enough to be impactful, according to the model.

Weather Icon Key–Park Factors Guide
Game HR 2B/3B 1B Runs Receptive Hour 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Humidity Pressure Outfield
Size		 Altitude Typical
Flight		 Contact
Rate		 Contact
Quality		 Description HR 2B/3B 1B Runs
Coors Field 8:10
SD @ COL 
+21%+30%+13%+32%Low 12  9  5 81°79°75°25%1012X-Large5,183+29GreatAvgAn extreme outlier of a stadium. Played 4,000 feet higher in altitude than the next closest MLB park. Has an extra-large outfield to accommodate much farther carry distances. Excellent for batter contact as the high altitude limits pitch effectiveness.+0.47+1.05+1.39+2.79
Oriole Park 7:05
LAD @ BAL 
+6%+10%+6%+12%Med-High 9  7  1 84°82°81°56%1013Variable130 -1GreatGoodA uniquely-shaped field with a home-run-friendly right side. The left-field corner is particularly deep while most of the outfield perimeter is closer than average. A 21-foot-tall fence compensates for the short distance down the right field line.+0.13+0.34+0.65+1.02
Steinbrenner Field 7:05
CLE @ TB  
+36%-4%-3%+10%Very High 9  7  6 86°86°84°67%1014Variable48Poor?The temporary home of the Rays. Features the exact same dimensions as Yankee Stadium. Very short to right and deeper-than-average to most of left field. Should usually be hitter-friendly, especially during the summer. At risk for lots of rainouts.+0.81-0.15-0.29+0.88
Yankee Stadium 1:05
TOR @ NYY 
+38%-5%-5%+10%High 11  11  8 84°86°86°60%1013Variable54 -6AvgGreatA rounded asymmetrical outfield with a very shallow right field wall. The short porch is balanced out by a larger-than-average left field, though still very short to the foul pole on that side.+0.85-0.19-0.54+0.85
Chase Field 8:10
BOS @ ARI 
-3%+15%+4%+8%Roof ClosedRoof ClosedLarge1,082+11GreatBadThe highest MLB altitude outside of Coors. Large outfield to accommodate longer carry distance on fly balls. Massive 25-foot center field fence.-0.07+0.52+0.40+0.68
Angel Stadium 9:38
ATH @ LAA 
+20%-2%-2%+5%Consistent 8  7  6 82°79°75°51%1013Small160+5AvgGoodHorizontally shaped to the extreme. Deep corners and a very close center field fence. Consistently mild weather with a typical out-blowing wind pattern.+0.45-0.07-0.20+0.46
Truist Park 7:15
SEA @ ATL 
+9%-6%+1%+2%Medium 9  7  6 81°79°79°63%1016Medium1,050+3PoorGreatAn unevenly shaped outfield with a deep left side. The tall fence in right makes up for a shallow right field corner. Benefits from warm temperatures and relatively high altitude.+0.21-0.22+0.14+0.18
Kauffman Stadium 7:15
MIN @ KC  
-21%+16%+4%+1%High 10  6  6 75°72°68°45%1019X-Large750+5GreatGoodThe largest non-Coors outfield in MLB. Perfectly symmetrical with a 9-foot-tall fence rounding the perimeter.-0.48+0.55+0.45+0.12
Comerica Park 6:10
CHW @ DET 
-19%+6%+8%+1%High 11  9  7 64°63°63°46%1015Large596 -3AvgAvgA challenging venue for home runs with a very deep center field. The entire left side is deeper than average and the 15-foot-tall fence in right further complicates things for hitters. Batter contact is better than most parks, possibly aided by a clean batter's eye.-0.44+0.23+0.88+0.10
Great American BP 6:40
NYM @ CIN 
+13%-12%+0%+1%Low 9  6  4 72°70°68°42%1017Small683+0BadAvgThe smallest outfield in MLB, offset partially by a taller left-field wall. Stadium architecture dampens the effect from wind but hot days can turn GABP into a home run paradise.+0.29-0.41+0.03+0.05
PNC Park 6:40
MIL @ PIT 
-15%+9%+2%-1%Med-High 9  7  7 72°70°68°44%1015Variable743+5GoodBadAn asymmetrical venue with an extremely deep left field fence. Tall fences guard against an otherwise shallow outfield. The 21-foot-tall fence down the right field line makes a good target for extra base hits in the yard.-0.34+0.33+0.18-0.06
LoanDepot Park 4:10
PHI @ MIA 
-11%+5%-2%-4%Roof ClosedRoof ClosedLarge15+0GoodAvgA retractable-roof field that is normally enclosed. The tall fences and large outfield promote doubles while suppressing home runs.-0.24+0.18-0.21-0.32
Busch Stadium 7:15
SF @ STL 
-9%-9%+2%-6%Med-High 9  4  3 77°73°72°35%1018Large455+3GoodAvgA large, symmetrical outfield with deep corners and gaps. The center field fence is a few feet closer than the MLB standard.-0.21-0.32+0.22-0.51
Globe Life Field 7:15
HOU @ TEX 
-3%-9%-3%-7%Roof ClosedRoof ClosedMedium616+8AvgGreatA retractable roof venue with a zig-zag outfield. The left side is particularly deep while the right is better primed for homers.-0.06-0.32-0.30-0.59
Wrigley Field 2:20
WAS @ CHC 
-5%-21%+3%-10%Extreme 12  12  12 64°66°66°48%1016Medium596 -2PoorBadThe most wind-receptive venue in baseball (by a lot). Out-blowing wind tends to correlate with warmer temperatures, and vice versa. The Corners are very deep and guarded by 16-foot-tall-fences. An extremely shallow porch in left-center makes for a cheap home run target.-0.11-0.74+0.36-0.86