Park Factors
Last Updated: 12:23 PM
There's a variety of weather conditions on Tuesday with temperatures ranging from 60s to 90s. Low air pressure and high humidity are themes across much of the slate - two factors which improve fly ball distance.
Sutter Health Park is back in action this week for Astros / Athletics. The minor league venue has been one of MLB's top parks for home runs this season due largely to how receptive it is to the usual out-blowing wind. Although it will be in the mid-90s in Sacramento this evening, there won't be much wind, making it not quite as appealing for homers as it normally is.
Some of the more home-run-friendly parks are back on the schedule Tuesday including Great American Ball Park where the low air pressure will be paired with 80° at start time. The small outfield at GABP has made it perhaps MLB's top venue for home runs over its 23-year existence. It hasn't played as friendly for dingers this season and is allowing fewer home runs than expected given the fly balls hit this season. GABP is still rated positive for home runs on Tuesday.
Some of the most impactful wind on the slate is in Philadelphia and Chicago. Both parks are receptive to wind (particularly Wrigley Field) and figure to impact the game despite single-digit speeds. It will blow out to right-center at Citizens Bank and in from left at Wrigley.
Oracle Park gets its usual forecast of 60° with wind blowing out. As noted here throughout the season, the forecast calls for out-blowing wind more than 98% of the time at Oracle, but that direction doesn't translate to the field as expected. Oracle has the 2nd fewest home runs this season (1.79 per game), which is in line with where it's been historically.
| Game | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | Receptive | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Humidity | Pressure | Outfield Size |
Altitude | Typical Flight |
Contact Rate |
Contact Quality |
Description | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Great American BP 6:40 | +23% | +2% | +8% | +16% | Low | 2  | 3 | 3 | 81° | 77° | 73° | 76% | 993 | Small | 683 | +0 | Bad | Avg | The smallest outfield in MLB, offset partially by a taller left-field wall. Stadium architecture dampens the effect from wind but hot days can turn GABP into a home run paradise. | +0.51 | +0.05 | +0.82 | +1.42 | |||||
Oriole Park 6:35 | +10% | +9% | +5% | +12% | Med-High | 4  | 4  | 4 | 79° | 75° | 73° | 85% | 1013 | Variable | 130 | -1 | Great | Good | A uniquely-shaped field with a home-run-friendly right side. The left-field corner is particularly deep while most of the outfield perimeter is closer than average. A 21-foot-tall fence compensates for the short distance down the right field line. | +0.23 | +0.30 | +0.55 | +1.07 | |||||
Sutter Health Park 10:05 | +15% | +5% | +5% | +11% | Very High | 2  | 2 | 6 | 91° | 88° | 82° | 18% | 1007 | Large | 30 | Good | Avg | The temporary home of the Athletics. Features a spacious outfield with a tiny right-field fence. Standard to the corners and center, bowed outward in the gaps. | +0.33 | +0.16 | +0.54 | +0.99 | ||||||
Truist Park 7:15 | +7% | -6% | +14% | +11% | Medium | 5 | 3  | 3  | 86° | 84° | 82° | 36% | 978 | Medium | 1,050 | +3 | Poor | Great | An unevenly shaped outfield with a deep left side. The tall fence in right makes up for a shallow right field corner. Benefits from warm temperatures and relatively high altitude. | +0.17 | -0.21 | +1.46 | +0.95 | |||||
Chase Field 9:40 | -1% | +15% | +4% | +9% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Large | 1,082 | +11 | Great | Bad | The highest MLB altitude outside of Coors. Large outfield to accommodate longer carry distance on fly balls. Massive 25-foot center field fence. | -0.03 | +0.53 | +0.42 | +0.76 | ||||||||||||
Citizens Bank Park 6:45 | +30% | -3% | -3% | +8% | Very High | 5  | 4  | 4 | 84° | 81° | 79° | 46% | 1013 | Small | 9 | -3 | Bad | Great | One of the smaller outfields in MLB. Relies on tall fences to keep home runs from getting out of hand. The most wind-receptive venue outside of Wrigley. | +0.67 | -0.10 | -0.37 | +0.73 | |||||
Yankee Stadium 7:05 | +28% | -7% | -5% | +5% | High | 5  | 4  | 4 | 79° | 77° | 75° | 68% | 1011 | Variable | 54 | -6 | Avg | Great | A rounded asymmetrical outfield with a very shallow right field wall. The short porch is balanced out by a larger-than-average left field, though still very short to the foul pole on that side. | +0.63 | -0.25 | -0.50 | +0.47 | |||||
Oracle Park 9:45 | -18% | +15% | +8% | +5% | Consistent | 10  | 9 | 8 | 81° | 77° | 75° | 35% | 1005 | Variable | 63 | 0 | Good | Poor | A uniquely shaped field with a 24 foot-tall fence guarding a very shallow right-field corner. Straight-away center is close to home plate but extends to an extremely deep right-field gap. Cool temperatures are the norm and the ever-present out-blowing wind is neutralized by the stadium architecture. | -0.40 | +0.52 | +0.90 | +0.44 | |||||
Angel Stadium 9:38 | +19% | -6% | 0% | +4% | Consistent | 8 | 7 | 6 | 81° | 75° | 73° | 63% | 1003 | Small | 160 | +5 | Avg | Good | Horizontally shaped to the extreme. Deep corners and a very close center field fence. Consistently mild weather with a typical out-blowing wind pattern. | +0.43 | -0.20 | -0.05 | +0.39 | |||||
Progressive Field 6:40 | +10% | +9% | -6% | +3% | High | 2 | 2 | 4 | 77° | 73° | 70° | 69% | 991 | Small | 582 | -5 | Avg | Poor | A small outfield with two distinct halves. A 19-foot fence guards most of the outfield's left side while the shorter right-field fence leaves that half vulnerable to home runs. | +0.23 | +0.33 | -0.63 | +0.31 | |||||
Rogers Centre 7:07 | -4% | +6% | +3% | +3% | Minimal | 1 | 1  | 1 | 68° | 66° | 66° | 92% | 1000 | Medium | 247 | +0 | Great | Good | A neutral-sized retractable roof venue where every opportunity is taken to play outdoors. A closed roof is well-received by hitters on cold Toronto days but can favor pitchers when its hot out. | -0.10 | +0.22 | +0.34 | +0.30 | |||||
Globe Life Field 8:05 | -4% | -9% | -3% | -7% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Medium | 616 | +8 | Avg | Great | A retractable roof venue with a zig-zag outfield. The left side is particularly deep while the right is better primed for homers. | -0.09 | -0.30 | -0.32 | -0.62 | ||||||||||||
T-Mobile Park 9:40 | +0% | -17% | -2% | -7% | Medium | 6  | 5 | 5 | 70° | 64° | 63° | 62% | 1011 | Small | 10 | -6 | Poor | Bad | One of the smallest outfields in MLB, justified by cooler weather and short carry distances. Strikeouts are boosted by low altitude and a tricky batters eye. | +0.00 | -0.58 | -0.23 | -0.66 | |||||
Petco Park 9:40 | -13% | -6% | -2% | -9% | Low | 8 | 7 | 7 | 73° | 72° | 70° | 89% | 1007 | Medium | 13 | -2 | Avg | Avg | A medium-sized outfield with consistent weather conditions. Plays shallow to center and deeper to both sides. The San Diego marine layer can reduce carry distance, especially at night. | -0.29 | -0.19 | -0.26 | -0.78 | |||||
Wrigley Field 7:40 | -24% | +7% | -7% | -12% | Extreme | 11 | 11 | 11 | 70° | 68° | 68° | 83% | 992 | Medium | 596 | -2 | Poor | Bad | The most wind-receptive venue in baseball (by a lot). Out-blowing wind tends to correlate with warmer temperatures, and vice versa. The Corners are very deep and guarded by 16-foot-tall-fences. An extremely shallow porch in left-center makes for a cheap home run target. | -0.55 | +0.25 | -0.72 | -1.06 | |||||
