Park Factors
Last Updated: 12:23 PM
The first day of the Divisional round will kick off with good hitting weather in Milwaukee. It will be in the mid-80s for Cubs / Brewers this afternoon with low air pressure - two factors which help the ball carry farther. The shallow center field third at American Family Field is a good spot for homers, especially when conditions are favorable. It isn't the best venue for in-play hits as the shallow gaps make the outfield easier to cover. The +33% number for HRs on Saturday equates to about 0.75 additional homers per game for the stadium/weather combo.
Fairly neutral conditions are expected for Yankees / Blue Jays with mid-70s in Toronto. The out-blowing wind is a non-factor at Rogers Centre.
The small outfield in Philadelphia will be slightly more vulnerable to the long ball this evening with 80° expected at start time for Dodgers / Phillies. The warm temperatures are counteracted some by higher air pressure.
T-Mobile Park is the only venue favoring pitchers today. Temperatures in the high 50s paired with high pressure will make the stingy run environment in Seattle favor pitchers even more for Tigers / Mariners. The -14% number for runs represents about 1.2 fewer runs on average based on the stadium/weather combo.
| Game | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | Receptive | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Humidity | Pressure | Outfield Size |
Altitude | Typical Flight |
Contact Rate |
Contact Quality |
Description | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
American Family Fld 2:08 | +24% | -20% | +2% | +3% | Low | 11  | 12 | 11 | 90° | 90° | 90° | 44% | 992 | Medium | 593 | +3 | Poor | Good | A retractable-roof venue with a zig-zag outfield. Deep to each side but shallow in the gaps and to center field. The horizontal shape reduces the number of hits that fall into play. | +0.54 | -0.69 | +0.16 | +0.24 | |||||
Rogers Centre 4:08 | +1% | -3% | +0% | 0% | Minimal | 6  | 6 | 6 | 82° | 82° | 79° | 39% | 1007 | Medium | 247 | +0 | Great | Good | A neutral-sized retractable roof venue where every opportunity is taken to play outdoors. A closed roof is well-received by hitters on cold Toronto days but can favor pitchers when its hot out. | +0.03 | -0.09 | +0.05 | -0.03 | |||||
Citizens Bank Park 6:38 | +14% | -8% | -5% | -1% | Very High | 4  | 4  | 5 | 81° | 75° | 72° | 34% | 1021 | Small | 9 | -3 | Bad | Great | One of the smaller outfields in MLB. Relies on tall fences to keep home runs from getting out of hand. The most wind-receptive venue outside of Wrigley. | +0.31 | -0.27 | -0.48 | -0.10 | |||||
T-Mobile Park 8:38 | +0% | -20% | -3% | -10% | Medium | 7  | 6 | 4 | 64° | 63° | 57° | 74% | 1014 | Small | 10 | -6 | Poor | Bad | One of the smallest outfields in MLB, justified by cooler weather and short carry distances. Strikeouts are boosted by low altitude and a tricky batters eye. | +0.01 | -0.71 | -0.33 | -0.86 |
