First Inning

<< 10/03 October 4, 2025 10/05 >>

Last Updated: 12:21 PM

Today's game between the Cubs and Brewers in Milwaukee has a 52.2% chance to produce a run in the first inning, which is the highest on Saturday's slate. The Dodgers / Phillies game at Citizens Bank Park has the lowest probability (45.9%)

Park Teams YRFI YRFI Away YRFI YRFI Home YRFI YRFI Away Away L5 L10 L25 L10 L25 L50 Home Home L5 L10 L25 L10 L25 L50
American Family Fld @52.6%-11025.1%+29836.7%+172Boyd3/53/107/253/108/2513/50Peralta1/51/103/250/107/2512/50
Rogers Centre @52.2%-10930.8%+22432.4%+208Gil0/51/105/255/1014/2526/50Gausman2/53/107/253/107/2516/50
T-Mobile Park @48.2%+10727.5%+26327.5%+264Melton1/41/41/42/105/2511/50Kirby1/51/104/254/108/2517/50
Citizens Bank Park @46.1%+11627.1%+26925.9%+285Ohtani0/52/104/253/105/2515/50Sanchez0/51/102/254/1011/2518/50

Among Chicago's first 5 batters, Kyle Tucker is most likely to reach base (35% chance) while Nico Hoerner is least likely (30%). William Contreras has the best chance for Milwaukee (39%) while Jackson Chourio has the worst (35%).

Freddy Peralta
vs Cubs
Matthew Boyd
vs Brewers
GamePk H Batter OB HR H Batter OB HR
813047LMichael Busch35%5%1RJackson Chourio37%4%
813051LShohei Ohtani30%4%1RTrea Turner28%2%
813058RGleyber Torres35%3%1RRandy Arozarena28%2%
813063LTrent Grisham30%4%1RGeorge Springer39%5%
813047RNico Hoerner32%3%2LBrice Turang36%5%
813051RMookie Betts32%2%2LKyle Schwarber30%4%
813058LKerry Carpenter33%5%2SCal Raleigh30%6%
813063RAaron Judge37%7%2LNathan Lukes35%2%
813047LKyle Tucker36%4%3RWilliam Contreras40%5%
813051RTeoscar Hernandez29%2%3LBryce Harper31%4%
813058LRiley Greene34%5%3RJulio Rodriguez30%4%
813063LCody Bellinger30%4%3RVladimir Guerrero Jr.42%3%
813047RSeiya Suzuki34%5%4LChristian Yelich38%3%
813051LFreddie Freeman30%2%4RAlec Bohm31%2%
813058RSpencer Torkelson30%4%4LJosh Naylor31%3%
813063LBen Rice31%5%4LAddison Barger37%3%
813047SIan Happ32%4%5RAndrew Vaughn38%5%
813051STommy Edman33%1%5LBrandon Marsh28%3%
813058LColt Keith33%3%5SJorge Polanco32%4%
813063RGiancarlo Stanton30%6%5RAlejandro Kirk39%3%