First Inning

<< 10/04 October 5, 2025 10/06 >>

Last Updated: 12:21 PM

Today's game between the Yankees and Blue Jays in Toronto has a 50.4% chance to produce a run in the first inning, which is the highest on Sunday's slate. The Tigers / Mariners game at T-Mobile Park has the lowest probability (39.7%)

Park Teams YRFI YRFI Away YRFI YRFI Home YRFI YRFI Away Away L5 L10 L25 L10 L25 L50 Home Home L5 L10 L25 L10 L25 L50
Rogers Centre @51.0%-10333.3%+20026.5%+276Fried0/52/107/255/1014/2526/50Yesavage1/31/31/34/108/2517/50
T-Mobile Park @40.0%+15024.8%+30220.6%+386Skubal1/51/103/252/105/2511/50Castillo0/54/105/254/108/2517/50

Among New York's first 5 batters, Aaron Judge is most likely to reach base (41% chance) while Cody Bellinger is least likely (32%). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has the best chance for Toronto (35%) while Daulton Varsho has the worst (24%).

Trey Yesavage
vs Yankees
Max Fried
vs Blue Jays
GamePk H Batter OB HR H Batter OB HR
813057RGleyber Torres32%3%1RRandy Arozarena24%2%
813062LTrent Grisham33%3%1RGeorge Springer33%3%
813057LKerry Carpenter32%5%2SCal Raleigh26%4%
813062RAaron Judge37%5%2RDavis Schneider32%2%
813057LRiley Greene33%6%3RJulio Rodriguez27%3%
813062LCody Bellinger33%4%3RVladimir Guerrero Jr.38%2%
813057RSpencer Torkelson31%4%4SJorge Polanco25%3%
813062LBen Rice33%4%4RAlejandro Kirk35%2%
813057LColt Keith31%3%5REugenio Suarez22%3%
813062RGiancarlo Stanton31%5%5LDaulton Varsho27%2%