Matchups
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<< 10/06 October 7, 2025 10/08 >>

Last Updated: 12:07 PM

The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.

How to read this data

B	P	Tm	Batter	vs	Pitcher	RC	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	Batter	Pitcher	Starter	Power	Contact	All	GameDescription	OppositeHand
R	R	DET	Javier Baez	-5	Gilbert	-10	-5	-17	4	-28	4	2.1	4.2	18.0	2.9	24.5	8	8	3	0	0	3	0	1	.375	.375	.375	8	8	3.5	0.4	0.2	3.0	0	1	.442	.442	.605	595879	669302	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
L	R	SEA	J.P. Crawford	4	Flaherty	-3	-42	-10	6	11	0	1.4	4.6	17.2	11.9	20.2	7	7	4	0	2	2	0	2	.571	.571	.857	7	7	2.9	0.1	0.8	1.9	0	2	.409	.409	.572	641487	656427	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
R	R	SEA	Victor Robles	-3	Flaherty	-2	-8	-11	4	10	7	2.1	4.5	15.7	8.3	25.1	6	5	2	0	2	0	1	2	.400	.500	.800	6	5	1.6	0.0	1.4	0.2	1	2	.326	.438	.634	645302	656427	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
L	R	SEA	Josh Naylor	9	Flaherty	8	-11	2	19	-2	8	2.9	5.5	22.2	6.0	18.2	15	13	3	0	0	3	2	1	.231	.333	.231	15	13	3.8	0.7	0.5	2.7	2	1	.296	.389	.493	647304	656427	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
R	R	DET	Gleyber Torres	2	Gilbert	-10	-12	0	3	-29	5	2.3	4.9	14.7	9.2	22.0	16	15	6	0	1	5	1	1	.400	.438	.467	16	15	5.9	0.0	1.1	4.8	1	1	.393	.431	.475	650402	669302	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
L	R	DET	Zach McKinstry	-4	Gilbert	-19	-27	0	1	-37	16	1.6	5.3	14.9	6.4	28.2	12	10	3	0	0	3	2	2	.300	.417	.300	12	10	1.8	0.0	0.4	1.3	2	2	.177	.314	.224	656716	669302	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
S	R	SEA	Leo Rivas	-3	Flaherty	-5	-18	-5	5	5	12	2.0	4.0	12.6	13.2	31.7	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	1	.667	.667	.667	3	3	1.6	0.0	0.0	1.6	0	1	.530	.530	.536	660844	656427	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
R	R	DET	Jahmai Jones	-7	Gilbert	-26	-17	-20	-5	-31	15	2.5	3.6	12.1	7.8	30.9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	663330	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
S	R	SEA	Cal Raleigh	5	Flaherty	-6	-12	0	3	-3	6	4.2	4.9	11.6	11.9	32.5	11	8	1	0	0	1	3	3	.125	.364	.125	11	8	1.6	0.0	0.0	1.6	3	3	.201	.419	.205	663728	656427	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
R	R	SEA	Randy Arozarena	-2	Flaherty	3	-10	-17	11	20	4	1.9	3.9	13.9	13.7	32.5	12	11	4	2	1	1	1	3	.364	.417	1.000	12	11	3.7	1.9	0.8	1.1	1	3	.340	.395	.923	668227	656427	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
R	R	DET	Jake Rogers	-7	Gilbert	-20	-15	3	-9	-38	8	2.3	5.2	12.7	5.3	31.3	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	.250	.250	.500	4	4	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0	1	.037	.037	.055	668670	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
L	R	SEA	Luke Raley	3	Flaherty	7	1	12	3	7	-4	3.5	5.2	13.4	9.0	31.8	7	7	1	0	0	1	0	3	.143	.143	.143	7	7	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.1	0	3	.053	.053	.095	670042	656427	0	1	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
L	R	SEA	Miles Mastrobuoni	-2	Flaherty	-11	-39	-23	3	9	18	1.0	3.6	17.0	9.7	23.1	3	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	.667	.667	1.667	3	3	1.9	1.0	0.1	0.9	0	0	.648	.648	1.655	670156	656427	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
S	R	DET	Wenceel Perez	-7	Gilbert	-25	-17	-22	-10	-26	14	2.2	4.2	13.4	5.8	29.7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	672761	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
R	R	SEA	Julio Rodriguez	-3	Flaherty	-15	-16	-18	-5	4	18	2.7	4.1	15.2	8.1	30.2	12	9	1	1	0	0	3	6	.111	.333	.444	12	9	1.6	0.2	1.3	0.2	3	6	.182	.387	.401	677594	656427	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
L	R	DET	Parker Meadows	-7	Gilbert	-19	-12	-7	1	-36	9	1.9	4.2	13.1	6.7	30.3	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	.000	.000	.000	5	5	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0	3	.019	.019	.034	678009	669302	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
R	R	DET	Spencer Torkelson	-4	Gilbert	-17	-8	5	-7	-32	9	3.3	5.1	10.7	8.2	33.0	13	12	1	0	1	0	1	5	.083	.154	.167	13	12	0.6	0.0	0.4	0.2	1	5	.048	.121	.085	679529	669302	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
L	R	DET	Kerry Carpenter	-2	Gilbert	-17	-28	10	-3	-37	7	2.8	5.7	13.9	5.1	28.5	6	6	2	0	0	2	0	2	.333	.333	.333	6	6	2.5	0.0	0.1	2.4	0	2	.418	.418	.438	681481	669302	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
L	R	DET	Riley Greene	1	Gilbert	-17	-22	-8	5	-32	3	3.6	5.3	13.6	6.2	30.5	12	12	4	0	1	3	0	5	.333	.333	.417	12	12	3.5	0.0	1.0	2.5	0	5	.292	.292	.383	682985	669302	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
L	R	SEA	Dominic Canzone	3	Flaherty	4	-14	11	11	2	6	2.6	6.2	16.6	6.8	27.1	10	9	1	0	0	1	1	3	.111	.200	.111	10	9	1.2	0.3	0.2	0.7	1	3	.131	.218	.250	686527	656427	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
L	R	SEA	Rhylan Thomas	-10	Flaherty	-39	-42	-27	4	-5	28	1.1	2.6	13.0	5.6	43.4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	689041	656427	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
L	R	DET	Colt Keith	-2	Gilbert	-10	-27	13	-5	-26	5	1.8	6.2	14.2	6.4	25.8	9	8	1	0	0	1	1	4	.125	.222	.125	9	8	1.5	0.0	0.2	1.3	1	4	.184	.274	.213	690993	669302	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
R	R	DET	Dillon Dingler	-4	Gilbert	-13	-23	2	-1	-27	3	2.3	5.4	14.1	6.1	27.5	7	7	4	0	1	3	0	0	.571	.571	.714	7	7	3.2	0.2	1.0	2.0	0	0	.459	.459	.695	693307	669302	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	0
L	R	DET	Trey Sweeney	-9	Gilbert	-34	-35	-26	-3	-34	5	1.9	3.5	11.8	4.7	34.8	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.034	.034	.054	700242	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
L	R	SEA	Cole Young	1	Flaherty	-5	-20	-3	3	1	10	2.3	4.6	14.7	10.1	24.6	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.001	.001	.001	702284	656427	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Tigers	1
R	R	NYY	Giancarlo Stanton	8	Bieber	-1	28	18	-1	-13	-8	5.8	5.5	11.4	10.3	30.2	5	5	2	0	1	1	0	0	.400	.400	.600	5	5	2.5	0.9	0.7	0.8	0	0	.495	.495	1.217	519317	669456	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
R	L	TOR	George Springer	8	Rodon	-13	-12	-12	-1	9	-9	3.7	5.0	14.1	12.0	20.1	17	13	4	2	0	2	4	2	.308	.471	.769	17	13	4.4	2.0	0.3	2.1	4	2	.339	.494	.827	543807	607074	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
R	R	NYY	Aaron Judge	10	Bieber	-8	-4	9	7	-8	-12	5.1	5.3	13.9	14.8	21.7	5	4	2	0	1	1	1	2	.500	.600	.750	5	4	1.9	0.5	0.6	0.8	1	2	.486	.589	1.051	592450	669456	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
S	L	TOR	Tyler Heineman	2	Rodon	-2	16	6	-3	14	-15	2.7	5.1	15.4	7.7	16.6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	623168	607074	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
S	L	TOR	Anthony Santander	-2	Rodon	-6	4	-8	5	10	-16	2.6	3.9	12.1	11.9	24.5	7	7	2	0	0	2	0	2	.286	.286	.286	7	7	2.5	0.0	0.0	2.5	0	2	.361	.361	.368	623993	607074	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
L	R	NYY	Cody Bellinger	9	Bieber	-2	42	-9	4	-19	-11	4.9	5.1	15.1	8.2	14.1	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	.500	.500	.500	2	2	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.4	0	0	.217	.217	.241	641355	669456	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
L	R	NYY	J.C. Escarra	6	Bieber	-4	41	-2	-4	-5	-8	3.5	4.6	15.4	8.6	17.8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	641555	669456	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
L	R	NYY	Ryan McMahon	4	Bieber	-6	6	15	8	-11	-12	3.5	5.2	13.4	9.9	29.2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	1	1	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0	0	.580	.580	2.171	641857	669456	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
R	R	NYY	Amed Rosario	5	Bieber	-2	27	19	1	-27	-12	2.9	6.1	19.6	3.0	18.6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	642708	669456	0	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
L	L	TOR	Daulton Varsho	-2	Rodon	-14	-1	-21	1	2	-14	4.0	4.0	11.8	7.9	24.3	7	6	2	0	1	1	1	3	.333	.429	.500	7	6	1.5	0.0	0.9	0.6	1	3	.257	.363	.424	662139	607074	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
L	R	NYY	Trent Grisham	9	Bieber	2	21	12	16	-8	-16	4.1	5.2	13.3	13.9	22.9	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	.500	.500	1.000	2	2	1.0	0.0	0.7	0.2	0	0	.478	.478	.895	663757	669456	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
R	L	TOR	Myles Straw	4	Rodon	-8	10	4	-7	6	-16	2.3	5.7	15.8	7.9	15.9	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	.000	.200	.000	5	4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1	2	.012	.210	.038	664702	607074	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
L	L	TOR	Nathan Lukes	2	Rodon	-14	9	-23	-11	28	-6	2.1	4.4	15.7	9.1	15.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	664770	607074	0	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
R	L	TOR	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	10	Rodon	-8	-9	-9	-12	31	-22	2.7	5.7	15.6	14.6	12.3	16	14	9	2	3	4	2	0	.643	.688	1.286	16	14	7.3	1.7	2.2	3.4	2	0	.521	.581	1.051	665489	607074	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
L	R	NYY	Jazz Chisholm	9	Bieber	5	35	24	0	-6	-14	5.3	5.6	12.4	11.1	25.1	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	1	.000	.200	.000	5	4	0.8	0.0	0.1	0.7	1	1	.195	.356	.225	665862	669456	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
L	L	TOR	Andres Gimenez	2	Rodon	-11	15	-10	-10	17	-12	2.3	4.8	15.8	7.7	18.6	5	5	1	0	1	0	0	2	.200	.200	.400	5	5	1.0	0.0	0.8	0.1	0	2	.197	.197	.383	665926	607074	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
L	R	NYY	Austin Wells	2	Bieber	-12	8	18	-3	-25	-5	3.8	6.1	11.9	6.9	28.1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	1	1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	669224	669456	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
R	L	TOR	Alejandro Kirk	9	Rodon	-7	-4	-3	-3	12	-20	3.3	5.4	17.1	10.3	12.6	13	12	3	0	3	0	1	2	.250	.308	.500	13	12	3.0	1.2	1.5	0.3	1	2	.252	.309	.684	672386	607074	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
R	L	TOR	Ernie Clement	6	Rodon	-8	-6	20	-13	-3	-24	2.6	7.5	14.8	4.8	9.5	15	15	5	0	0	5	0	1	.333	.333	.333	15	15	2.1	0.1	0.3	1.8	0	1	.142	.142	.178	676391	607074	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
R	R	NYY	Jose Caballero	-1	Bieber	-16	3	8	4	-18	4	2.7	4.8	13.7	9.1	28.9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	676609	669456	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
R	L	TOR	Davis Schneider	2	Rodon	-11	-9	9	5	-7	-14	2.8	4.5	11.4	13.6	26.0	15	13	3	0	2	1	2	5	.231	.333	.385	15	13	2.5	0.0	1.8	0.7	2	5	.195	.302	.352	676914	607074	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
R	L	TOR	Leo Jimenez	2	Rodon	-3	19	-5	-6	22	-15	3.1	4.4	12.8	11.3	24.5	5	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	.000	.400	.000	5	3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2	2	.000	.000	.000	677870	607074	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
L	L	TOR	Addison Barger	2	Rodon	-16	-5	-16	-6	3	-10	2.5	4.2	14.3	10.3	21.5	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	3	3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0	2	.024	.024	.024	680718	607074	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
S	L	TOR	Jonatan Clase	-5	Rodon	-18	-3	-19	-7	15	-4	2.6	3.6	12.5	9.4	27.2	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	.500	.500	.500	2	2	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.8	0	1	.424	.424	.436	682729	607074	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
R	R	NYY	Anthony Volpe	4	Bieber	2	24	24	16	-19	-9	3.9	5.5	15.3	7.5	27.8	8	8	0	0	0	0	0	3	.000	.000	.000	8	8	1.9	0.4	1.3	0.2	0	3	.239	.239	.581	683011	669456	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
S	R	NYY	Jasson Dominguez	-2	Bieber	-15	29	8	-13	-16	0	2.9	5.3	12.9	7.1	26.9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	691176	669456	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1
L	L	TOR	Joey Loperfido	-6	Rodon	-19	5	-26	-5	13	-9	2.8	3.7	13.4	7.2	29.4	6	6	1	0	0	1	0	3	.167	.167	.167	6	6	1.1	0.0	0.2	1.0	0	3	.187	.187	.216	694388	607074	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	0
L	R	NYY	Ben Rice	9	Bieber	-6	1	36	-4	-19	-14	4.0	6.9	12.8	9.5	18.3	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0	0	.137	.137	.140	700250	669456	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Yankees	1

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