Matchups
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<< 10/05 October 6, 2025 10/07 >>

Last Updated: 12:07 PM

The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.

How to read this data

B	P	Tm	Batter	vs	Pitcher	RC	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	Batter	Pitcher	Starter	Power	Contact	All	GameDescription	OppositeHand
L	L	MIL	Christian Yelich	8	Imanaga	13	112	13	-10	-29	-5	6.0	5.0	13.6	8.5	24.5	13	12	5	1	0	4	1	3	.417	.462	.667	13	12	4.2	1.0	1.2	2.0	1	3	.347	.397	.706	592885	684007	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
R	L	CHC	Carson Kelly	-4	Ashby	-17	-23	-34	-4	20	13	2.6	3.4	13.5	10.2	26.7	5	5	2	0	0	2	0	0	.400	.400	.400	5	5	2.4	0.0	0.1	2.3	0	0	.477	.477	.491	608348	676879	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
R	L	CHC	Dansby Swanson	-3	Ashby	-12	-14	-43	7	25	12	3.4	2.9	14.8	10.5	31.9	7	6	2	0	0	2	1	1	.333	.429	.333	7	6	2.1	0.2	0.2	1.6	1	1	.343	.437	.492	621020	676879	1	1	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
L	L	MIL	Jake Bauers	8	Imanaga	13	119	10	-9	-35	-7	6.6	5.4	12.0	8.7	25.7	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.009	.009	.020	641343	684007	0	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
R	L	MIL	William Contreras	10	Imanaga	10	89	9	-3	-38	-11	6.3	5.8	15.5	7.2	18.4	13	12	5	3	0	2	1	2	.417	.462	1.167	13	12	5.8	2.7	2.1	1.1	1	2	.485	.525	1.344	661388	684007	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
S	L	MIL	Blake Perkins	3	Imanaga	6	35	33	-8	-17	-11	3.1	6.3	12.2	9.4	24.4	5	5	3	1	2	0	0	2	.600	.600	1.600	5	5	1.7	0.6	0.6	0.6	0	2	.343	.343	.818	663368	684007	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
R	L	CHC	Nico Hoerner	2	Ashby	-10	-37	-35	11	10	19	1.3	3.7	21.3	5.3	13.4	6	6	2	0	0	2	0	0	.333	.333	.333	6	6	2.1	0.0	0.2	1.9	0	0	.351	.351	.381	663538	676879	1	0	1	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
R	L	MIL	Brandon Lockridge	1	Imanaga	17	128	39	-14	-34	-9	4.1	6.0	13.1	4.5	24.0	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	5	5	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.3	0	0	.083	.083	.106	663604	684007	0	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
S	L	CHC	Ian Happ	0	Ashby	-8	-22	-25	-4	29	9	2.7	3.4	11.6	16.2	29.0	5	5	1	1	0	0	0	1	.200	.200	.800	5	5	1.0	0.8	0.1	0.1	0	1	.190	.190	.676	664023	676879	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
L	L	MIL	Brice Turang	9	Imanaga	17	129	17	-22	-32	-8	7.5	6.7	10.5	7.5	25.0	11	11	1	1	0	0	0	5	.091	.091	.364	11	11	2.8	1.3	0.2	1.3	0	5	.251	.251	.619	668930	684007	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
L	L	MIL	Tyler Black	-3	Imanaga	6	60	45	-13	-36	-11	3.4	5.9	10.9	6.6	26.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	672012	684007	0	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
S	L	MIL	Steward Berroa	-6	Imanaga	2	62	45	-11	-36	-9	2.5	5.3	10.3	6.8	29.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	672642	684007	0	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
R	L	CHC	Seiya Suzuki	3	Ashby	-10	-23	-44	6	30	12	2.7	3.1	11.9	18.7	29.9	5	5	2	1	1	0	0	2	.400	.400	1.200	5	5	2.4	1.0	0.6	0.8	0	2	.479	.479	1.217	673548	676879	1	1	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
R	L	CHC	Kevin Alcantara	-9	Ashby	-25	-28	-36	-6	23	26	1.0	2.7	13.9	6.7	35.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	682634	676879	0	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
R	L	MIL	Andrew Vaughn	10	Imanaga	25	124	29	-12	-28	-21	7.2	7.6	14.5	6.5	14.8	9	8	4	1	0	3	1	1	.500	.556	.875	9	8	3.7	1.0	0.4	2.4	1	1	.468	.527	.882	683734	684007	1	0	1	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
L	L	CHC	Michael Busch	2	Ashby	-18	-6	-50	-7	13	20	4.2	2.9	12.4	13.4	28.6	6	6	1	0	0	1	0	0	.167	.167	.167	6	6	1.1	0.0	0.2	0.9	0	0	.187	.187	.228	683737	676879	0	1	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
L	L	MIL	Sal Frelick	8	Imanaga	7	73	12	-1	-31	-17	3.5	5.8	16.2	6.1	11.7	8	8	1	0	0	1	0	1	.125	.125	.125	8	8	1.6	0.4	0.2	1.0	0	1	.201	.201	.385	686217	684007	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
R	L	MIL	Joey Ortiz	2	Imanaga	-3	60	12	-14	-31	-13	2.2	5.7	16.7	4.8	13.9	10	10	4	0	1	3	0	1	.400	.400	.500	10	10	3.0	0.0	0.3	2.7	0	1	.301	.301	.340	687401	684007	1	0	1	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
	L	MIL	Jeferson Quero	-6	Imanaga	22	92	38	-11	-25	-17	3.6	4.6	11.1	4.6	29.5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	691620	684007	0	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
L	L	CHC	Pete Crow-Armstrong	-6	Ashby	-24	-25	-36	-4	20	20	2.8	3.8	14.1	7.2	33.0	7	7	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	7	7	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0	1	.043	.043	.047	691718	676879	1	1	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
R	L	MIL	Jackson Chourio	9	Imanaga	20	75	39	-15	-29	-13	6.0	8.4	12.6	4.7	20.8	7	7	1	0	0	1	0	1	.143	.143	.143	7	7	1.1	0.0	0.1	1.0	0	1	.155	.155	.169	694192	684007	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
L	L	CHC	Moises Ballesteros	-7	Ashby	-17	-38	-44	-3	34	18	1.3	2.4	14.2	11.2	31.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	694208	676879	0	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	0
R	L	CHC	Matt Shaw	-4	Ashby	-13	-31	-42	11	28	15	2.0	3.2	13.9	12.4	28.7	8	7	2	0	1	1	1	2	.286	.375	.571	8	7	2.2	0.4	0.5	1.3	1	2	.314	.400	.582	807713	676879	1	0	0	1	Cubs @ Brewers	1
R	L	LAD	Miguel Rojas	-1	Luzardo	-4	8	5	-5	-22	44	2.2	5.5	17.0	5.9	20.0	9	9	2	0	0	2	0	1	.222	.222	.222	9	9	2.3	0.0	0.1	2.2	0	1	.259	.259	.270	500743	666200	1	0	1	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
L	L	LAD	Freddie Freeman	-2	Luzardo	-7	-7	-6	-7	-13	29	3.2	5.2	13.5	8.7	28.9	10	10	3	1	1	1	0	4	.300	.300	.700	10	10	3.6	1.0	1.0	1.6	0	4	.359	.359	.767	518692	666200	1	1	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
L	L	PHI	Bryce Harper	-5	Snell	-15	-24	-20	-14	1	41	2.6	4.2	12.8	10.5	33.0	8	6	0	0	0	0	2	3	.000	.250	.000	8	6	0.4	0.0	0.2	0.2	2	3	.069	.302	.112	547180	605483	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
L	L	LAD	Max Muncy	-3	Luzardo	-10	10	-16	-4	-28	37	3.8	3.9	11.0	11.6	33.2	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000	1.000	1.000	1	1	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.8	0	0	.803	.803	.807	571970	666200	0	1	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
R	L	PHI	Nick Castellanos	-9	Snell	-26	-30	-36	-13	1	45	2.2	4.1	14.1	5.4	36.7	10	9	0	0	0	0	1	5	.000	.100	.000	10	9	0.4	0.0	0.1	0.3	1	5	.044	.140	.054	592206	605483	1	0	1	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
R	L	PHI	J.T. Realmuto	-6	Snell	-13	-9	-23	-12	0	40	2.6	4.5	13.5	7.9	32.5	10	10	1	0	1	0	0	4	.100	.100	.200	10	10	1.1	0.1	0.7	0.2	0	4	.106	.106	.224	592663	605483	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
L	L	PHI	Garrett Stubbs	-10	Snell	-27	-40	-25	-21	-3	50	.9	3.6	10.8	7.6	41.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	596117	605483	0	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
R	L	LAD	Mookie Betts	2	Luzardo	-3	20	-4	0	-22	41	2.1	5.7	16.5	7.3	19.6	14	14	1	0	0	1	0	2	.071	.071	.071	14	14	2.8	0.0	0.3	2.5	0	2	.199	.199	.225	605141	666200	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
R	L	LAD	Teoscar Hernandez	-6	Luzardo	-11	-5	-10	-6	-20	40	2.7	5.0	15.0	5.8	34.3	12	11	4	0	2	2	1	1	.364	.417	.545	12	11	3.6	0.3	0.6	2.7	1	1	.328	.384	.465	606192	666200	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
R	L	PHI	Trea Turner	-5	Snell	-14	-25	-16	-8	-6	43	1.7	4.5	16.3	7.6	29.2	6	4	1	0	0	1	2	2	.250	.500	.250	6	4	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.6	2	2	.157	.438	.158	607208	605483	1	0	1	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
R	L	PHI	Edmundo Sosa	-8	Snell	-21	-23	-30	-16	7	36	2.1	3.7	15.0	5.7	32.4	6	6	3	0	1	2	0	2	.500	.500	.833	6	6	2.2	0.5	0.4	1.4	0	2	.370	.370	.678	624641	605483	1	0	1	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
L	L	PHI	Kyle Schwarber	-9	Snell	-26	-40	-26	-6	-18	40	2.7	3.1	9.0	12.6	47.7	13	11	1	1	0	0	2	5	.091	.231	.364	13	11	1.5	1.2	0.1	0.2	2	5	.136	.269	.468	656941	605483	1	1	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
L	L	LAD	Shohei Ohtani	-5	Luzardo	-11	4	-16	-11	-26	36	5.2	4.4	9.0	9.5	42.5	14	14	1	1	0	0	0	6	.071	.071	.286	14	14	2.8	1.9	0.6	0.3	0	6	.198	.198	.650	660271	666200	1	1	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
R	L	PHI	Alec Bohm	-5	Snell	-17	-19	-27	-8	-8	64	1.9	3.8	16.4	8.1	27.6	7	6	0	0	0	0	1	1	.000	.143	.000	7	6	2.6	0.2	1.8	0.6	1	1	.435	.515	.856	664761	605483	1	0	1	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
S	L	PHI	Rafael Marchan	-4	Snell	-10	-40	-20	-8	24	41	1.5	3.8	15.0	10.5	25.9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	665561	605483	0	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
L	L	LAD	Ben Rortvedt	-8	Luzardo	-16	-15	-10	-14	-19	32	1.5	4.1	13.1	7.7	34.3	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	.250	.250	.250	4	4	1.2	0.0	0.1	1.1	0	2	.292	.292	.307	666163	666200	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
L	L	PHI	Brandon Marsh	-9	Snell	-22	-21	-36	-21	9	42	2.3	3.4	11.4	9.6	39.1	4	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	.000	.500	.000	4	2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	2	0	.059	.530	.069	669016	605483	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
S	L	LAD	Tommy Edman	-6	Luzardo	-14	-11	-14	-5	-26	43	2.1	4.5	16.0	5.6	28.4	12	12	2	0	1	1	0	4	.167	.167	.250	12	12	2.6	0.0	0.6	2.0	0	4	.214	.214	.270	669242	666200	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
R	L	LAD	Will Smith	-5	Luzardo	-14	0	-10	-7	-29	47	3.4	4.5	11.6	10.6	35.5	8	7	1	0	0	1	1	1	.143	.250	.143	8	7	0.8	0.0	0.2	0.6	1	1	.113	.223	.151	669257	666200	0	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
R	L	LAD	Alex Call	-2	Luzardo	-3	-1	3	6	-24	36	2.0	5.0	15.5	10.1	27.3	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	.500	.500	1.000	2	2	0.9	0.1	0.7	0.1	0	0	.454	.454	.973	669743	666200	0	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
R	L	PHI	Johan Rojas	-10	Snell	-33	-23	-37	-22	-7	61	1.1	2.8	13.4	4.9	38.0	4	4	2	0	0	2	0	1	.500	.500	.500	4	4	1.8	0.0	0.0	1.7	0	1	.445	.445	.457	679032	605483	0	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
L	L	PHI	Bryson Stott	-4	Snell	-14	-29	-25	-16	16	46	1.7	3.8	13.9	10.7	24.4	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	.500	.500	.500	2	2	0.8	0.0	0.2	0.6	0	0	.405	.405	.533	681082	605483	0	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
R	L	LAD	Andy Pages	-7	Luzardo	-18	-26	-13	-11	-19	37	2.4	5.0	13.8	5.1	31.9	7	5	1	0	0	1	2	0	.200	.429	.200	7	5	0.9	0.0	0.1	0.8	2	0	.179	.414	.209	681624	666200	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
L	L	LAD	Dalton Rushing	-10	Luzardo	-26	-18	-28	-6	-36	35	2.6	3.3	11.4	4.4	44.5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	687221	666200	0	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0
R	L	PHI	Otto Kemp	-10	Snell	-21	-38	-22	-13	5	35	2.0	3.5	11.0	8.0	46.7	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	4	.000	.000	.000	5	5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0	4	.013	.013	.013	805249	605483	1	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	1
L	L	LAD	Hyeseong Kim	-10	Luzardo	-22	-15	-14	-14	-30	38	1.9	3.9	11.0	4.7	41.3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	808975	666200	0	0	0	1	Dodgers @ Phillies	0

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