Matchups
Last Updated: 12:07 PM
The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.
| B | P | Tm | Batter | vs | Pitcher | RC | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | PA | AB | H | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | PA | AB | H | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | Batter | Pitcher | Starter | Power | Contact | All | GameDescription | OppositeHand |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | R | DET | Javier Baez | -4 | Kirby | -10 | 5 | -44 | 17 | -21 | 37 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 20.3 | 3.2 | 32.3 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .091 | .091 | .182 | 11 | 11 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | .256 | .256 | .336 | 595879 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | L | SEA | J.P. Crawford | -9 | Skubal | -43 | -23 | -54 | -29 | -27 | 67 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 11.5 | 7.8 | 33.6 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | .333 | .400 | .333 | 10 | 9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1 | 3 | .143 | .228 | .148 | 641487 | 669373 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| R | L | SEA | Victor Robles | -8 | Skubal | -27 | -6 | -49 | -11 | -15 | 45 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 13.4 | 6.4 | 34.0 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .077 | .143 | .154 | 14 | 13 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1 | 5 | .116 | .179 | .229 | 645302 | 669373 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| L | L | SEA | Josh Naylor | -6 | Skubal | -36 | -15 | -45 | -25 | -25 | 76 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 29.5 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .200 | .200 | .333 | 15 | 15 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 0 | 1 | .171 | .171 | .200 | 647304 | 669373 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| R | R | DET | Gleyber Torres | 6 | Kirby | -8 | 4 | -21 | 15 | -21 | 31 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 16.4 | 10.2 | 27.4 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .357 | .357 | .500 | 14 | 14 | 4.8 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3.4 | 0 | 6 | .341 | .341 | .456 | 650402 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | DET | Zach McKinstry | 3 | Kirby | -7 | 15 | -19 | 10 | -22 | 29 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 16.2 | 7.9 | 31.5 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | .077 | .200 | .154 | 15 | 13 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2 | 5 | .123 | .240 | .199 | 656716 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| S | L | SEA | Leo Rivas | -9 | Skubal | -35 | -8 | -44 | -17 | -29 | 55 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 10.0 | 8.9 | 43.9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 4 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | .116 | .116 | .120 | 660844 | 669373 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | DET | Jahmai Jones | -6 | Kirby | -21 | -15 | -38 | 3 | -16 | 47 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 13.1 | 9.4 | 39.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 663330 | 669923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| S | L | SEA | Cal Raleigh | -8 | Skubal | -37 | -21 | -50 | -19 | -27 | 54 | 3.8 | 2.5 | 9.1 | 9.0 | 47.2 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .200 | .200 | .400 | 15 | 15 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0 | 7 | .282 | .282 | .460 | 663728 | 669373 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | L | SEA | Randy Arozarena | -9 | Skubal | -35 | -8 | -45 | -15 | -33 | 39 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 10.7 | 7.6 | 43.4 | 23 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | .190 | .261 | .238 | 23 | 21 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2 | 8 | .190 | .260 | .242 | 668227 | 669373 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | DET | Jake Rogers | -4 | Kirby | -13 | 5 | -32 | 12 | -30 | 35 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 39.2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .429 | .429 | 1.429 | 7 | 7 | 3.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 1 | .462 | .462 | 1.442 | 668670 | 669923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | L | SEA | Luke Raley | -10 | Skubal | -39 | -28 | -54 | -18 | -19 | 42 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 10.7 | 6.8 | 47.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 670042 | 669373 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| S | R | DET | Wenceel Perez | -1 | Kirby | -8 | 12 | -35 | 13 | -15 | 33 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 16.8 | 6.7 | 34.6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | .200 | .333 | .800 | 6 | 5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1 | 4 | .179 | .316 | .646 | 672761 | 669923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | L | SEA | Julio Rodriguez | -7 | Skubal | -29 | -11 | -40 | -16 | -19 | 50 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 13.4 | 6.3 | 38.6 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | .154 | .214 | .462 | 14 | 13 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1 | 5 | .243 | .297 | .545 | 677594 | 669373 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| L | R | DET | Parker Meadows | -4 | Kirby | -10 | 9 | -31 | 9 | -19 | 27 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 14.1 | 8.4 | 35.4 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .222 | .222 | .222 | 9 | 9 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 5 | .196 | .196 | .227 | 678009 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | DET | Spencer Torkelson | -4 | Kirby | -16 | -1 | -44 | 5 | -12 | 39 | 3.6 | 2.7 | 12.2 | 10.6 | 42.1 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .182 | .182 | .182 | 11 | 11 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 3 | .235 | .235 | .345 | 679529 | 669923 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | DET | Kerry Carpenter | 5 | Kirby | -5 | 16 | -24 | -7 | 8 | 30 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 13.3 | 8.7 | 34.6 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .636 | .636 | 2.000 | 11 | 11 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0 | 3 | .569 | .569 | 1.731 | 681481 | 669923 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| L | R | DET | Riley Greene | 7 | Kirby | -5 | 11 | -23 | 13 | -22 | 31 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 14.7 | 7.1 | 38.9 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | .400 | .455 | .700 | 11 | 10 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 | .349 | .408 | .566 | 682985 | 669923 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| L | L | SEA | Dominic Canzone | -10 | Skubal | -51 | -38 | -57 | -30 | -21 | 79 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 10.6 | 5.3 | 45.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 686527 | 669373 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | DET | Colt Keith | 3 | Kirby | -4 | 22 | -28 | 5 | -7 | 20 | 3.0 | 3.9 | 15.7 | 8.0 | 29.5 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .417 | .462 | .500 | 13 | 12 | 5.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 4.2 | 1 | 2 | .422 | .466 | .501 | 690993 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | DET | Dillon Dingler | 3 | Kirby | 1 | 29 | -21 | 14 | -15 | 29 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 16.1 | 7.1 | 34.2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | .250 | .000 | 4 | 3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1 | 1 | .096 | .322 | .098 | 693307 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | DET | Trey Sweeney | -6 | Kirby | -10 | 10 | -36 | 8 | -11 | 31 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 13.1 | 6.3 | 43.4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 2 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | .284 | .284 | .288 | 700242 | 669923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Tigers @ Mariners | 1 |