Matchups
Last Updated: 12:07 PM
The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.
| B | P | Tm | Batter | vs | Pitcher | RC | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | PA | AB | H | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | PA | AB | H | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | Batter | Pitcher | Starter | Power | Contact | All | GameDescription | OppositeHand |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L | L | MIL | Christian Yelich | -2 | Pomeranz | -15 | 4 | -11 | -4 | -16 | 23 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 14.6 | 10.0 | 31.8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 6 | 6 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | .205 | .205 | .339 | 592885 | 519141 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| R | R | CHC | Carson Kelly | -7 | Megill | -30 | -9 | -26 | -19 | -4 | 52 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 11.5 | 8.1 | 35.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | .872 | .872 | .953 | 608348 | 656730 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| R | R | CHC | Dansby Swanson | -9 | Megill | -44 | -12 | -39 | -23 | -27 | 57 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 10.6 | 6.1 | 44.6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .333 | .333 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | .324 | .324 | .412 | 621020 | 656730 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| L | L | MIL | Jake Bauers | -3 | Pomeranz | -18 | 17 | -10 | -13 | -22 | 20 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 11.5 | 10.4 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 641343 | 519141 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| R | L | MIL | William Contreras | 4 | Pomeranz | -13 | -2 | 15 | -10 | -29 | 19 | 3.2 | 6.1 | 14.4 | 8.3 | 24.7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .500 | .667 | 2.000 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | .484 | .656 | 1.676 | 661388 | 519141 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| S | L | MIL | Blake Perkins | -7 | Pomeranz | -21 | 22 | -26 | -8 | -18 | 30 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 35.7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | .011 | .011 | .012 | 663368 | 519141 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| R | R | CHC | Nico Hoerner | 1 | Megill | -13 | 10 | -23 | -9 | 3 | 43 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 17.5 | 5.0 | 16.1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .250 | .250 | 4 | 4 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 1 | .448 | .448 | .498 | 663538 | 656730 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| R | L | MIL | Brandon Lockridge | -9 | Pomeranz | -22 | 5 | -17 | -12 | -2 | 34 | 1.9 | 3.6 | 13.3 | 6.7 | 35.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 663604 | 519141 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| S | R | CHC | Ian Happ | -6 | Megill | -22 | 27 | -34 | -19 | -14 | 37 | 4.3 | 3.0 | 9.8 | 10.9 | 36.4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .500 | .667 | .500 | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1 | 0 | .479 | .653 | .527 | 664023 | 656730 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| L | L | MIL | Brice Turang | -1 | Pomeranz | -13 | 21 | -7 | -10 | -20 | 19 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 12.2 | 9.0 | 32.4 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .143 | .143 | .143 | 7 | 7 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0 | 3 | .129 | .129 | .189 | 668930 | 519141 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| R | R | CHC | Seiya Suzuki | -5 | Megill | -24 | 20 | -33 | -21 | -15 | 37 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 8.9 | 12.3 | 36.5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 6 | 6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | .118 | .118 | .182 | 673548 | 656730 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| R | R | CHC | Kevin Alcantara | -10 | Megill | -42 | -1 | -22 | -25 | -3 | 54 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 42.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 682634 | 656730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| R | L | MIL | Andrew Vaughn | 4 | Pomeranz | -10 | 22 | -6 | -10 | -21 | 25 | 3.9 | 5.5 | 15.0 | 7.1 | 23.5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .333 | .333 | 3 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | .159 | .159 | .162 | 683734 | 519141 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| L | R | CHC | Michael Busch | 4 | Megill | -13 | 29 | -12 | -16 | -22 | 35 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 11.3 | 9.3 | 32.0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 5 | 5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0 | 3 | .012 | .012 | .013 | 683737 | 656730 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| L | L | MIL | Sal Frelick | 3 | Pomeranz | -5 | 5 | -10 | 2 | -9 | 11 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 16.6 | 8.1 | 15.6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .333 | .333 | 3 | 3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | .309 | .309 | .312 | 686217 | 519141 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |
| R | L | MIL | Joey Ortiz | -1 | Pomeranz | -9 | 9 | -6 | 0 | -22 | 28 | 1.5 | 4.8 | 19.4 | 5.4 | 20.4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 2 | 2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | .814 | .814 | .836 | 687401 | 519141 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| L | R | CHC | Pete Crow-Armstrong | -7 | Megill | -30 | -12 | -18 | -10 | -23 | 48 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 13.3 | 4.6 | 40.6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 2 | 2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | .080 | .080 | .081 | 691718 | 656730 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| R | L | MIL | Jackson Chourio | -2 | Pomeranz | -12 | 9 | -24 | 7 | -20 | 22 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 15.8 | 5.3 | 29.1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 3 | 3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 2 | .143 | .143 | .144 | 694192 | 519141 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| L | R | CHC | Moises Ballesteros | -10 | Megill | -38 | -4 | -30 | -18 | -16 | 60 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 7.1 | 42.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 694208 | 656730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 1 |
| R | R | CHC | Matt Shaw | -8 | Megill | -32 | -4 | -30 | -12 | -18 | 52 | 2.8 | 3.8 | 11.1 | 8.0 | 37.9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 1.000 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 807713 | 656730 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Cubs @ Brewers | 0 |