Matchups
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<< 10/11 October 12, 2025 10/13 >>

Last Updated: 12:07 PM

The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.

How to read this data

B	P	Tm	Batter	vs	Pitcher	RC	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	Batter	Pitcher	Starter	Power	Contact	All	GameDescription	OppositeHand
R	R	TOR	George Springer	10	Miller	11	26	10	-14	-12	-12	5.3	6.3	12.2	9.7	19.4	11	11	2	2	0	0	0	3	.182	.182	.727	11	11	3.0	2.1	0.1	0.8	0	3	.277	.277	.877	543807	682243	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
S	R	TOR	Tyler Heineman	-1	Miller	10	37	13	-8	-30	-13	3.2	5.4	14.6	4.7	17.1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	1	1	0.4	0.0	0.3	0.0	0	0	.362	.362	.754	623168	682243	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	TOR	Anthony Santander	-4	Miller	11	41	-2	-13	-11	-8	3.5	4.2	10.0	9.6	26.8	13	12	5	1	0	4	1	2	.417	.462	.667	13	12	4.8	1.6	0.3	2.9	1	2	.397	.444	.823	623993	682243	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	SEA	J.P. Crawford	4	Gausman	3	19	19	-11	-22	11	2.8	6.1	14.4	8.4	22.3	15	13	2	0	0	2	2	4	.154	.267	.154	15	13	2.4	0.0	0.3	2.1	2	4	.186	.295	.212	641487	592332	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	SEA	Victor Robles	-4	Gausman	1	10	21	-22	-17	10	2.5	6.1	11.8	6.3	25.8	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0	0	1	.251	.251	.761	645302	592332	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	SEA	Josh Naylor	6	Gausman	1	12	6	-11	-27	6	3.7	5.7	16.5	4.5	17.8	9	8	2	0	0	2	1	1	.250	.333	.250	9	8	1.5	0.2	0.2	1.2	1	1	.190	.280	.278	647304	592332	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	SEA	Leo Rivas	-7	Gausman	-7	33	20	-19	-46	20	3.2	5.1	9.7	6.8	34.0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	1	1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	660844	592332	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	TOR	Daulton Varsho	3	Miller	18	39	-1	-8	-23	-12	5.6	5.0	10.8	5.9	24.8	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	5	5	0.5	0.0	0.3	0.1	0	1	.098	.098	.182	662139	682243	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	SEA	Cal Raleigh	7	Gausman	13	44	20	-24	-28	8	6.9	6.0	8.5	8.9	33.2	16	15	7	3	1	3	1	6	.467	.500	1.133	16	15	5.7	3.4	0.5	1.8	1	6	.380	.419	1.094	663728	592332	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Myles Straw	4	Miller	8	3	5	-7	5	-19	2.1	5.7	15.9	7.9	15.4	3	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	.333	.333	.333	3	3	2.0	0.0	0.0	1.9	0	0	.655	.655	.665	664702	682243	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Nathan Lukes	1	Miller	-1	10	9	-15	-27	-17	2.1	6.1	14.9	5.2	13.3	6	4	2	0	0	2	2	0	.500	.667	.500	6	4	1.9	0.0	0.2	1.7	2	0	.482	.655	.537	664770	682243	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	10	Miller	4	3	3	1	-21	-16	3.0	6.4	17.7	8.8	13.2	9	8	2	0	1	1	1	0	.250	.333	.375	9	8	3.1	0.0	1.1	2.0	1	0	.387	.456	.546	665489	682243	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Andres Gimenez	2	Miller	7	19	7	-7	-18	-11	2.4	5.7	16.2	5.4	18.9	6	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	6	6	0.8	0.0	0.1	0.7	0	0	.138	.138	.169	665926	682243	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	SEA	Randy Arozarena	-7	Gausman	-8	15	18	-25	-31	16	2.4	5.5	9.5	7.8	36.3	12	12	4	1	1	2	0	1	.333	.333	.667	12	12	4.8	0.9	0.9	3.0	0	1	.404	.404	.717	668227	592332	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	SEA	Luke Raley	-6	Gausman	1	20	16	-25	-25	12	4.2	5.3	9.7	6.3	37.4	3	3	1	0	1	0	0	1	.333	.333	.667	3	3	1.7	0.8	0.6	0.3	0	1	.552	.552	1.558	670042	592332	0	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	SEA	Miles Mastrobuoni	-1	Gausman	4	1	43	-8	-33	13	1.6	6.8	15.2	6.0	22.1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	670156	592332	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Alejandro Kirk	10	Miller	11	29	7	-7	-10	-18	4.4	6.0	16.3	8.3	13.0	6	6	1	0	1	0	0	2	.167	.167	.333	6	6	1.1	0.0	0.9	0.2	0	2	.182	.182	.344	672386	682243	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	TOR	Ernie Clement	3	Miller	-1	14	-9	-14	-23	-26	3.1	5.7	14.7	3.8	9.2	6	6	2	0	0	2	0	0	.333	.333	.333	6	6	2.5	0.0	0.0	2.5	0	0	.421	.421	.432	676391	682243	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	TOR	Davis Schneider	4	Miller	17	46	15	-7	-20	-13	4.4	4.8	10.1	11.7	26.6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	676914	682243	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	SEA	Julio Rodriguez	-3	Gausman	-6	-12	29	-19	-35	14	2.8	6.4	12.9	5.0	29.4	18	17	5	1	0	4	1	5	.294	.333	.471	18	17	4.5	0.9	1.5	2.1	1	5	.265	.306	.525	677594	592332	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Addison Barger	7	Miller	16	15	23	-2	-14	-23	3.1	6.1	14.9	8.5	18.5	7	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	.000	.429	.000	7	4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.2	3	1	.047	.455	.051	680718	682243	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	SEA	Dominic Canzone	-3	Gausman	-2	5	6	-17	-24	8	3.1	5.9	12.5	5.1	27.6	6	6	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	6	6	1.5	0.1	0.7	0.6	0	1	.242	.242	.440	686527	592332	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1

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