Last Updated: 12:07 PM
The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.
| B | P | Tm | Batter | vs | Pitcher | RC | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | PA | AB | H | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | PA | AB | H | HR | XB | 1B | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | Batter | Pitcher | Starter | Power | Contact | All | GameDescription | OppositeHand |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | R | TOR | George Springer | 10 | Kirby | 0 | 17 | -13 | 8 | -7 | 31 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 15.3 | 10.2 | 28.8 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .300 | .364 | .600 | 11 | 10 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 2 | .319 | .381 | .622 | 543807 | 669923 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| S | R | TOR | Tyler Heineman | 2 | Kirby | -3 | 11 | -15 | 18 | -27 | 40 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 18.6 | 5.0 | 27.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 623168 | 669923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| S | R | TOR | Anthony Santander | -6 | Kirby | -9 | -5 | -15 | 10 | -13 | 34 | 2.3 | 3.6 | 12.7 | 9.4 | 39.1 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | .273 | .333 | .545 | 12 | 11 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1 | 3 | .200 | .267 | .431 | 623993 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| L | R | SEA | J.P. Crawford | 9 | Bieber | 2 | 30 | -2 | 9 | -23 | -2 | 3.1 | 5.1 | 17.6 | 8.2 | 19.7 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .333 | .333 | .444 | 9 | 9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 | .307 | .307 | .433 | 641487 | 669456 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | SEA | Victor Robles | 3 | Bieber | 1 | 10 | -1 | 2 | -17 | -9 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 15.4 | 6.3 | 21.4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | .200 | .429 | .200 | 7 | 5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | 2 | .076 | .340 | .077 | 645302 | 669456 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | SEA | Josh Naylor | 10 | Bieber | 9 | 32 | 10 | 1 | -12 | -17 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 18.8 | 5.4 | 13.9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .250 | .250 | 4 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0 | 1 | .339 | .339 | .495 | 647304 | 669456 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| S | R | SEA | Leo Rivas | -3 | Bieber | -7 | 15 | -19 | -2 | -17 | 7 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 11.7 | 10.4 | 30.3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 660844 | 669456 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| L | R | TOR | Daulton Varsho | -3 | Kirby | -10 | -13 | -7 | 11 | -22 | 34 | 3.5 | 4.7 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 37.8 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .333 | .444 | 9 | 9 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0 | 1 | .224 | .224 | .345 | 662139 | 669923 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| S | R | SEA | Cal Raleigh | 9 | Bieber | 5 | 20 | 6 | 0 | -21 | -1 | 5.8 | 5.2 | 11.2 | 9.8 | 30.1 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .200 | .200 | .200 | 10 | 10 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0 | 3 | .122 | .122 | .136 | 663728 | 669456 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | TOR | Myles Straw | 2 | Kirby | -12 | -16 | -23 | 9 | -12 | 45 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 18.6 | 6.6 | 27.4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .500 | .500 | 2 | 2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | .325 | .325 | .327 | 664702 | 669923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | TOR | Nathan Lukes | 8 | Kirby | -1 | 11 | -17 | 16 | -14 | 21 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 20.5 | 6.2 | 19.3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .200 | .200 | .200 | 5 | 5 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0 | 2 | .325 | .325 | .419 | 664770 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | TOR | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 10 | Kirby | 1 | -3 | -9 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 20.7 | 11.2 | 19.1 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .455 | .455 | .818 | 11 | 11 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | .374 | .374 | .672 | 665489 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | TOR | Andres Gimenez | 4 | Kirby | -4 | -2 | -13 | 14 | -22 | 27 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 19.8 | 5.1 | 26.9 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | .444 | .444 | .889 | 9 | 9 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | .186 | .186 | .533 | 665926 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | SEA | Randy Arozarena | -1 | Bieber | 3 | 19 | -6 | 7 | -17 | -3 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 13.4 | 9.4 | 30.3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .250 | .400 | .250 | 5 | 4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | .122 | .297 | .127 | 668227 | 669456 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | SEA | Luke Raley | 4 | Bieber | 8 | 40 | -15 | -2 | -15 | 1 | 4.9 | 3.9 | 12.7 | 7.1 | 33.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 670042 | 669456 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| L | R | SEA | Miles Mastrobuoni | 2 | Bieber | -7 | 0 | -11 | -2 | -17 | -8 | 1.6 | 4.2 | 16.3 | 7.4 | 18.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 670156 | 669456 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| R | R | TOR | Alejandro Kirk | 10 | Kirby | 2 | 11 | -5 | 16 | -15 | 23 | 3.8 | 5.3 | 20.3 | 7.8 | 19.5 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .125 | .222 | .125 | 9 | 8 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 1 | 2 | .461 | .521 | .516 | 672386 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| R | R | TOR | Ernie Clement | 9 | Kirby | -2 | 6 | -4 | 8 | -21 | 30 | 2.9 | 6.0 | 18.4 | 3.9 | 16.2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .250 | .500 | 4 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | .286 | .286 | .591 | 676391 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| R | R | TOR | Davis Schneider | -4 | Kirby | -14 | -16 | -24 | 6 | -9 | 40 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 11.6 | 13.3 | 42.7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | .009 | .009 | .022 | 676914 | 669923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| R | R | SEA | Julio Rodriguez | 5 | Bieber | 0 | 8 | -5 | -1 | -8 | 2 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 15.9 | 7.1 | 26.3 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .500 | .500 | 1.200 | 10 | 10 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 2 | .460 | .460 | 1.198 | 677594 | 669456 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 0 |
| L | R | TOR | Addison Barger | 3 | Kirby | -5 | 20 | -31 | 14 | -20 | 30 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 17.3 | 8.0 | 31.0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .250 | .250 | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | .247 | .247 | .285 | 680718 | 669923 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |
| L | R | SEA | Dominic Canzone | 7 | Bieber | 5 | 20 | 4 | 2 | -25 | -12 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 22.6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | .000 | .000 | 686527 | 669456 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Blue Jays @ Mariners | 1 |