Matchups
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<< 10/15 October 16, 2025 10/17 >>

Last Updated: 12:07 PM

The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.

How to read this data

B	P	Tm	Batter	vs	Pitcher	RC	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	Batter	Pitcher	Starter	Power	Contact	All	GameDescription	OppositeHand
R	L	LAD	Miguel Rojas	4	Ashby	-13	-24	-47	10	38	15	1.6	2.8	19.8	10.4	16.0	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	.667	.667	.667	3	3	0.9	0.0	0.0	0.9	0	0	.294	.294	.302	500743	676879	0	0	1	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
L	L	LAD	Freddie Freeman	0	Ashby	-24	-16	-47	5	15	21	2.9	2.9	15.2	11.5	27.2	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	2	.000	.250	.000	4	3	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.4	1	2	.140	.355	.143	518692	676879	1	1	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
L	L	LAD	Max Muncy	3	Ashby	-21	-25	-48	1	21	18	2.6	2.4	11.6	19.5	28.6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	571970	676879	1	1	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
L	R	MIL	Christian Yelich	-2	Glasnow	-23	-1	-41	-9	15	22	2.8	2.6	13.8	13.7	31.4	11	11	2	0	0	2	0	5	.182	.182	.182	11	11	2.4	0.2	0.4	1.8	0	5	.215	.215	.299	592885	607192	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
R	L	LAD	Mookie Betts	4	Ashby	-14	-4	-44	6	26	16	1.7	3.3	17.4	11.9	16.2	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	.250	.250	.500	4	4	0.9	0.0	0.1	0.8	0	0	.213	.213	.230	605141	676879	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
R	L	LAD	Teoscar Hernandez	-3	Ashby	-25	-20	-48	14	4	16	2.3	2.9	18.2	7.6	28.4	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.500	.000	2	1	0.5	0.0	0.1	0.4	1	0	.453	.727	.524	606192	676879	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
L	R	MIL	Jake Bauers	2	Glasnow	-18	-20	-27	0	16	10	2.4	3.6	13.2	15.4	30.4	9	8	2	1	0	1	1	3	.250	.333	.625	9	8	1.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	1	3	.139	.234	.256	641343	607192	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
L	L	LAD	Shohei Ohtani	1	Ashby	-21	-15	-40	-6	26	10	4.2	3.1	9.6	16.2	34.3	6	4	4	0	1	3	2	0	1.000	1.000	1.500	6	4	2.8	0.0	0.9	1.8	2	0	.694	.796	.954	660271	676879	1	1	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
R	R	MIL	William Contreras	5	Glasnow	-20	-20	-30	-5	22	25	2.6	3.7	15.2	14.3	26.0	12	10	0	0	0	0	2	3	.000	.167	.000	12	10	1.1	0.0	0.0	1.1	2	3	.113	.261	.115	661388	607192	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
S	R	MIL	Blake Perkins	-6	Glasnow	-30	-19	-43	-7	18	26	1.9	2.7	12.4	13.3	34.5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	663368	607192	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
R	R	MIL	Brandon Lockridge	-9	Glasnow	-41	-26	-42	-8	13	38	1.3	2.5	14.0	7.8	36.6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	663604	607192	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
L	L	LAD	Ben Rortvedt	-6	Ashby	-27	-30	-43	-3	18	12	1.2	2.6	14.9	11.2	29.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	666163	676879	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
L	R	MIL	Brice Turang	1	Glasnow	-20	-3	-34	-11	29	19	3.2	3.7	12.1	14.4	32.5	11	11	3	0	0	3	0	3	.273	.273	.273	11	11	3.2	0.0	0.8	2.5	0	3	.294	.294	.373	668930	607192	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
S	L	LAD	Tommy Edman	-2	Ashby	-22	-26	-50	8	19	14	1.8	2.6	18.1	9.1	22.6	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000	1.000	1.000	1	1	0.9	0.0	0.0	0.9	0	0	.885	.885	.892	669242	676879	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
R	L	LAD	Will Smith	4	Ashby	-17	-14	-48	8	21	17	2.9	2.6	13.4	17.9	28.1	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	.000	.333	.000	3	2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	1	1	.060	.373	.060	669257	676879	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
R	L	LAD	Alex Call	1	Ashby	-19	-36	-55	7	24	15	1.3	2.2	15.6	16.4	23.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	669743	676879	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
R	L	LAD	Andy Pages	-7	Ashby	-40	-41	-52	0	9	30	1.9	2.8	15.5	6.8	30.3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	681624	676879	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
R	R	MIL	Andrew Vaughn	4	Glasnow	-18	-7	-37	-3	23	16	3.0	3.7	16.0	11.0	21.8	6	5	0	0	0	0	1	2	.000	.167	.000	6	5	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.4	1	2	.079	.233	.082	683734	607192	1	0	1	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
L	R	MIL	Sal Frelick	2	Glasnow	-17	-25	-30	-6	35	26	1.5	3.6	15.4	11.9	17.9	7	7	0	0	0	0	0	4	.000	.000	.000	7	7	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.7	0	4	.101	.101	.104	686217	607192	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	1
L	L	LAD	Dalton Rushing	-9	Ashby	-36	-31	-42	14	8	20	2.2	2.7	13.9	7.5	39.5	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	1	1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	687221	676879	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
R	R	MIL	Joey Ortiz	-2	Glasnow	-19	-2	-40	-2	23	24	1.4	3.1	19.0	8.5	19.8	6	6	0	0	0	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	6	6	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.2	0	2	.044	.044	.047	687401	607192	1	0	1	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
R	R	MIL	Jackson Chourio	-5	Glasnow	-30	-8	-48	-1	15	27	3.2	3.1	14.7	7.6	30.4	10	10	1	0	0	1	0	3	.100	.100	.100	10	10	1.5	0.1	0.7	0.6	0	3	.145	.145	.253	694192	607192	1	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
L	L	LAD	Hyeseong Kim	-9	Ashby	-38	-34	-38	4	4	17	1.5	2.8	13.3	6.9	35.1	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	808975	676879	0	0	0	1	Brewers @ Dodgers	0
R	R	TOR	George Springer	10	Castillo	-2	28	-25	-1	-12	10	5.4	4.3	14.0	9.7	24.2	14	14	2	0	1	1	0	2	.143	.143	.214	14	14	3.0	0.9	1.2	0.8	0	2	.212	.212	.506	543807	622491	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
S	R	TOR	Tyler Heineman	-1	Castillo	-7	23	-23	-6	-16	3	2.8	3.7	14.9	5.7	20.1	5	5	3	0	1	2	0	0	.600	.600	.800	5	5	1.6	0.4	0.8	0.3	0	0	.313	.313	.730	623168	622491	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
S	R	TOR	Anthony Santander	-6	Castillo	-9	10	-32	-5	-11	6	2.7	2.9	11.0	9.6	30.8	9	9	1	1	0	0	0	3	.111	.111	.444	9	9	1.8	0.5	0.6	0.7	0	3	.205	.205	.454	623993	622491	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
L	R	SEA	J.P. Crawford	10	Scherzer	16	80	0	4	-4	-13	4.3	5.2	16.8	10.3	17.6	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.250	.000	4	3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1	0	.009	.257	.018	641487	453286	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
R	R	SEA	Victor Robles	4	Scherzer	4	46	2	-10	-9	2	3.3	5.1	13.5	6.9	24.0	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	3	3	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.0	0	1	.124	.124	.329	645302	453286	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
L	R	SEA	Josh Naylor	10	Scherzer	13	56	-11	9	-5	-11	5.1	4.8	20.3	5.8	15.0	4	4	2	1	0	1	0	1	.500	.500	1.250	4	4	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.5	0	1	.346	.346	.954	647304	453286	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
S	R	SEA	Leo Rivas	8	Scherzer	23	79	-13	-4	13	-19	4.3	3.7	11.5	14.2	23.0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.500	.000	2	1	0.5	0.0	0.4	0.1	1	0	.526	.763	1.114	660844	453286	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
L	R	TOR	Daulton Varsho	-2	Castillo	-9	-5	-11	-12	-11	3	3.8	4.5	10.3	6.9	29.2	10	9	0	0	0	0	1	5	.000	.100	.000	10	9	0.7	0.0	0.2	0.5	1	5	.079	.171	.103	662139	622491	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
S	R	SEA	Cal Raleigh	10	Scherzer	10	48	-9	-21	-8	-2	7.1	4.5	8.9	11.3	30.1	5	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	.000	.400	.000	5	3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2	2	.006	.403	.014	663728	453286	1	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
R	R	TOR	Myles Straw	2	Castillo	-12	-5	-13	-11	-10	11	2.0	4.8	15.2	6.7	20.9	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	664702	622491	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
L	R	TOR	Nathan Lukes	8	Castillo	-2	36	-11	0	-19	2	2.6	5.0	17.7	5.8	16.4	7	7	2	1	0	1	0	0	.286	.286	.714	7	7	2.2	0.4	0.5	1.4	0	0	.319	.319	.570	664770	622491	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
R	R	TOR	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	10	Castillo	-8	-3	-19	-1	-7	0	2.8	5.0	17.4	10.4	15.8	17	14	5	0	2	3	3	4	.357	.471	.500	17	14	4.6	0.0	1.1	3.4	3	4	.325	.444	.416	665489	622491	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
L	R	TOR	Andres Gimenez	-1	Castillo	-13	0	-16	-11	-15	8	2.0	4.5	15.5	5.6	22.9	12	12	4	2	1	1	0	3	.333	.333	.917	12	12	4.0	1.4	1.5	1.0	0	3	.330	.330	.823	665926	622491	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
R	R	SEA	Randy Arozarena	1	Scherzer	4	30	7	-14	-3	2	2.7	5.0	10.8	11.0	31.9	5	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	5	5	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	0	1	.038	.038	.061	668227	453286	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
L	R	SEA	Luke Raley	6	Scherzer	11	43	-10	-14	3	-3	5.0	4.1	11.1	8.7	32.2	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0	0	.147	.147	.150	670042	453286	0	1	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
L	R	SEA	Miles Mastrobuoni	7	Scherzer	5	25	3	-2	3	-13	2.0	4.9	16.2	9.2	17.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	670156	453286	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
R	R	TOR	Alejandro Kirk	9	Castillo	-10	-4	-17	-4	-11	5	3.3	4.6	16.8	8.2	16.6	7	6	3	1	0	2	1	1	.500	.571	1.000	7	6	2.9	0.4	0.5	1.9	1	1	.484	.558	.802	672386	622491	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
R	R	TOR	Ernie Clement	4	Castillo	-14	-8	-18	-10	-14	-5	2.5	5.1	15.4	4.3	11.8	6	6	2	0	0	2	0	0	.333	.333	.333	6	6	2.3	0.0	0.3	2.0	0	0	.388	.388	.459	676391	622491	1	0	1	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
R	R	TOR	Davis Schneider	-5	Castillo	-17	-19	-28	-2	-14	15	2.4	3.0	10.6	12.5	34.8	5	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	.200	.200	.200	5	5	1.1	0.0	0.1	1.0	0	1	.222	.222	.237	676914	622491	0	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
R	R	SEA	Julio Rodriguez	7	Scherzer	5	42	-16	3	-20	2	4.6	4.2	16.5	6.2	26.1	5	4	2	1	0	1	1	2	.500	.600	1.250	5	4	1.9	1.0	0.1	0.9	1	2	.480	.584	1.244	677594	453286	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	0
L	R	TOR	Addison Barger	5	Castillo	-2	26	-20	2	-15	3	3.4	4.0	15.5	8.4	24.7	9	8	3	0	3	0	1	1	.375	.444	.750	9	8	2.4	0.0	1.4	1.0	1	1	.302	.380	.503	680718	622491	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1
L	R	SEA	Dominic Canzone	8	Scherzer	9	55	2	-12	-9	-3	4.6	5.6	13.2	6.1	24.9	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	.500	.500	.500	2	2	0.7	0.0	0.0	0.7	0	0	.351	.351	.369	686527	453286	1	0	0	1	Blue Jays @ Mariners	1

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