Matchups
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<< 10/18 October 19, 2025 10/20 >>

Last Updated: 12:07 PM

The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.

How to read this data

B	P	Tm	Batter	vs	Pitcher	RC	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	Batter	Pitcher	Starter	Power	Contact	All	GameDescription	OppositeHand
R	R	TOR	George Springer	5	Gilbert	-3	7	16	-22	-28	16	4.5	6.6	11.1	7.9	25.6	15	11	2	0	1	1	4	4	.182	.400	.273	15	11	2.7	0.8	0.2	1.8	4	4	.248	.449	.482	543807	669302	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
S	R	TOR	Tyler Heineman	-7	Gilbert	-10	4	7	-19	-36	24	2.4	5.1	12.9	4.4	24.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	623168	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	TOR	Anthony Santander	-8	Gilbert	-12	7	-8	-19	-31	10	2.6	3.9	9.4	7.5	32.1	9	9	3	1	1	1	0	3	.333	.333	.778	9	9	2.3	0.9	0.6	0.8	0	3	.251	.251	.610	623993	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	SEA	J.P. Crawford	3	Yesavage	1	-4	-8	-8	16	38	2.3	4.8	15.0	12.4	27.8	4	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.250	.000	4	3	0.5	0.0	0.1	0.3	1	0	.150	.363	.198	641487	702056	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	SEA	Victor Robles	-3	Yesavage	5	22	-2	-9	11	30	2.7	4.9	13.6	8.4	30.6	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.1	0	0	.115	.115	.211	645302	702056	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	SEA	Josh Naylor	5	Yesavage	-1	-11	3	-11	18	33	2.9	5.6	16.6	7.2	22.4	5	5	4	1	0	3	0	1	.800	.800	1.400	5	5	2.6	1.0	0.2	1.4	0	1	.515	.515	1.137	647304	702056	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	SEA	Leo Rivas	-8	Yesavage	-13	-6	-21	-17	0	42	2.3	3.3	10.0	12.6	40.3	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	1	.500	.500	.500	2	2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.030	.030	.094	660844	702056	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	TOR	Daulton Varsho	-6	Gilbert	-11	-13	-11	-11	-27	11	3.5	4.5	10.4	5.6	31.3	10	10	2	0	0	2	0	1	.200	.200	.200	10	10	2.7	0.2	1.1	1.3	0	1	.266	.266	.457	662139	669302	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	SEA	Cal Raleigh	-5	Yesavage	-16	-15	-23	-16	-8	36	4.1	3.8	9.4	11.3	41.5	5	4	0	0	0	0	1	2	.000	.200	.000	5	4	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	1	2	.047	.237	.080	663728	702056	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Myles Straw	-4	Gilbert	-10	-7	-3	-18	-24	8	1.9	5.3	14.0	5.7	20.5	6	6	2	0	0	2	0	2	.333	.333	.333	6	6	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.4	0	2	.061	.061	.064	664702	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Nathan Lukes	3	Gilbert	5	7	22	-10	-19	6	2.0	6.9	15.9	5.8	16.9	5	5	2	0	0	2	0	1	.400	.400	.400	5	5	1.7	0.0	0.1	1.6	0	1	.334	.334	.353	664770	669302	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	9	Gilbert	1	10	15	-7	-31	11	3.2	7.1	16.4	7.6	17.4	14	13	5	3	2	0	1	2	.385	.429	1.231	14	13	5.4	2.0	1.3	2.2	1	2	.418	.460	.987	665489	669302	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Andres Gimenez	-2	Gilbert	-2	4	6	-10	-28	8	2.1	5.7	15.8	4.8	22.9	10	9	3	0	1	2	1	2	.333	.400	.444	10	9	2.8	0.0	0.9	1.9	1	2	.314	.383	.426	665926	669302	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	SEA	Randy Arozarena	-8	Yesavage	-9	-8	-13	-21	7	31	1.9	4.1	9.9	12.2	40.8	6	6	3	0	0	3	0	2	.500	.500	.500	6	6	2.1	0.0	0.0	2.1	0	2	.355	.355	.360	668227	702056	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	SEA	Miles Mastrobuoni	-4	Yesavage	-5	-14	-4	-13	13	42	1.4	4.5	14.4	10.1	27.8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	670156	702056	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Alejandro Kirk	7	Gilbert	-4	-4	-1	-7	-25	9	3.3	5.6	16.2	6.9	17.3	12	12	3	0	0	3	0	3	.250	.250	.250	12	12	3.5	0.0	1.0	2.6	0	3	.293	.293	.381	672386	669302	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	TOR	Ernie Clement	-3	Gilbert	-14	-13	-13	-18	-31	7	2.4	5.4	13.9	3.4	13.3	8	8	3	0	1	2	0	1	.375	.375	.625	8	8	2.5	0.6	0.4	1.5	0	1	.314	.314	.593	676391	669302	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	TOR	Davis Schneider	-7	Gilbert	-14	-11	-11	-14	-23	15	2.7	3.7	9.4	11.3	35.0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	1	1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0	0	.148	.148	.168	676914	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	SEA	Julio Rodriguez	2	Yesavage	5	-2	-9	-18	54	25	3.1	4.5	13.2	12.0	32.2	5	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	.333	.600	1.333	5	3	1.3	1.0	0.0	0.3	2	0	.443	.666	1.440	677594	702056	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Addison Barger	-5	Gilbert	-12	12	-6	-18	-38	22	3.0	4.7	12.5	6.2	29.2	4	4	2	1	0	1	0	1	.500	.500	1.250	4	4	1.8	0.4	0.5	0.8	0	1	.442	.442	.908	680718	669302	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	SEA	Dominic Canzone	-4	Yesavage	-3	21	-17	-20	15	32	3.6	4.6	12.0	7.7	33.8	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	2	.250	.250	.250	4	4	1.2	0.0	0.0	1.2	0	2	.298	.298	.303	686527	702056	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	TOR	Joey Loperfido	-9	Gilbert	-16	-7	-17	-15	-30	18	2.5	4.1	11.9	4.4	38.2	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.333	.000	3	2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.2	1	0	.107	.405	.132	694388	669302	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1

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