Matchups
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<< 10/19 October 20, 2025 10/21 >>

Last Updated: 12:07 PM

The Matchup Model gives a probability distribution of outcomes for every batter/pitcher combination. The numbers below DO account for today's stadium and weather. You can find more details on the Methodology page.

How to read this data

B	P	Tm	Batter	vs	Pitcher	RC	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	PA	AB	H	HR	XB	1B	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	Batter	Pitcher	Starter	Power	Contact	All	GameDescription	OppositeHand
R	R	TOR	George Springer	10	Kirby	13	19	12	2	-6	21	5.0	6.4	14.5	10.4	26.8	11	10	3	1	0	2	1	2	.300	.364	.600	11	10	3.2	1.0	0.1	2.1	1	2	.319	.381	.622	543807	669923	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
S	R	TOR	Tyler Heineman	2	Kirby	16	29	14	14	-26	31	3.0	5.5	18.1	5.0	25.6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	623168	669923	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	TOR	Anthony Santander	-6	Kirby	3	-5	6	8	-12	25	2.4	4.5	12.4	9.5	36.4	12	11	3	1	0	2	1	3	.273	.333	.545	12	11	2.2	0.7	0.4	1.1	1	3	.200	.267	.431	623993	669923	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	SEA	J.P. Crawford	9	Bieber	17	30	26	6	-22	-9	3.1	6.5	17.1	8.3	18.4	9	9	3	0	1	2	0	2	.333	.333	.444	9	9	2.8	0.0	1.0	1.7	0	2	.307	.307	.433	641487	669456	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	SEA	Victor Robles	3	Bieber	18	16	31	-3	-16	-15	2.6	6.6	14.6	6.3	19.9	7	5	1	0	0	1	2	2	.200	.429	.200	7	5	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.4	2	2	.076	.340	.077	645302	669456	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	SEA	Josh Naylor	10	Bieber	24	33	37	-1	-11	-23	4.4	7.4	18.3	5.4	12.9	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	.250	.250	.250	4	4	1.4	0.0	0.6	0.8	0	1	.339	.339	.495	647304	669456	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	SEA	Leo Rivas	-3	Bieber	5	15	6	-6	-16	0	2.7	4.5	11.2	10.5	28.1	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	2	.000	.000	.000	660844	669456	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	TOR	Daulton Varsho	-3	Kirby	3	-13	14	10	-20	24	3.5	5.8	12.9	6.1	35.2	9	9	3	0	1	2	0	1	.333	.333	.444	9	9	2.0	0.1	0.8	1.2	0	1	.224	.224	.345	662139	669923	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
S	R	SEA	Cal Raleigh	9	Bieber	20	24	26	0	-20	-8	6.0	6.2	11.2	9.9	28.0	10	10	2	0	0	2	0	3	.200	.200	.200	10	10	1.2	0.0	0.1	1.1	0	3	.122	.122	.136	663728	669456	1	1	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Myles Straw	2	Kirby	5	-1	6	5	-11	35	2.1	5.8	17.9	6.7	25.4	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	.500	.500	.500	2	2	0.6	0.0	0.0	0.6	0	0	.325	.325	.327	664702	669923	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Nathan Lukes	8	Kirby	17	12	21	13	-12	12	2.1	6.8	19.9	6.2	18.0	5	5	1	0	0	1	0	2	.200	.200	.200	5	5	1.6	0.0	0.4	1.2	0	2	.325	.325	.419	664770	669923	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	10	Kirby	14	-3	16	12	2	13	2.8	7.2	19.8	11.4	17.8	11	11	5	1	1	3	0	0	.455	.455	.818	11	11	4.1	0.8	0.9	2.5	0	0	.374	.374	.672	665489	669923	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Andres Gimenez	4	Kirby	11	-1	14	11	-21	18	2.0	6.1	19.4	5.2	25.0	9	9	4	1	1	2	0	3	.444	.444	.889	9	9	1.7	1.0	0.2	0.5	0	3	.186	.186	.533	665926	669923	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	SEA	Randy Arozarena	-1	Bieber	16	22	19	1	-16	-10	2.6	5.6	12.7	9.6	28.2	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	2	.250	.400	.250	5	4	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.5	1	2	.122	.297	.127	668227	669456	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	SEA	Miles Mastrobuoni	2	Bieber	10	10	23	-4	-16	-14	1.8	5.8	16.0	7.5	16.8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	0	0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	670156	669456	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
R	R	TOR	Alejandro Kirk	10	Kirby	15	12	22	10	-14	14	3.8	6.9	19.3	7.9	18.1	9	8	1	0	0	1	1	2	.125	.222	.125	9	8	3.7	0.0	0.4	3.3	1	2	.461	.521	.516	672386	669923	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	TOR	Ernie Clement	9	Kirby	16	16	28	3	-19	21	3.2	8.0	17.6	4.0	15.1	4	4	1	0	1	0	0	1	.250	.250	.500	4	4	1.1	0.0	1.1	0.0	0	1	.286	.286	.591	676391	669923	1	0	1	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	TOR	Davis Schneider	-4	Kirby	-4	-11	-3	1	-8	31	2.7	4.0	10.9	13.5	39.7	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	2	2	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	1	.009	.009	.022	676914	669923	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
R	R	SEA	Julio Rodriguez	5	Bieber	12	11	17	-5	-7	-5	3.5	5.8	15.3	7.2	24.4	10	10	5	2	1	2	0	2	.500	.500	1.200	10	10	4.6	2.0	1.3	1.3	0	2	.460	.460	1.198	677594	669456	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	0
L	R	TOR	Addison Barger	3	Kirby	6	18	-13	12	-19	20	3.2	4.3	16.9	8.1	28.8	4	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	.250	.250	.250	4	4	1.0	0.0	0.1	0.9	0	0	.247	.247	.285	680718	669923	1	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	SEA	Dominic Canzone	7	Bieber	22	22	28	1	-24	-18	3.7	7.1	15.2	5.1	21.0	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	.000	.000	.000	4	4	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0	4	.000	.000	.000	686527	669456	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1
L	R	TOR	Joey Loperfido	-6	Kirby	4	-5	14	-2	-12	22	2.6	5.6	13.8	5.5	39.4	4	4	2	0	0	2	0	0	.500	.500	.500	4	4	2.0	0.0	0.1	1.9	0	0	.501	.501	.542	694388	669923	0	0	0	1	Mariners @ Blue Jays	1

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