Park Factors
Last Updated: 11:52 PM
Wednesday's slate features cooler temperatures than the recent trend with about half of outdoor games dipping back into the 70s. It's still going to be 90° and higher at a number of venues including Yankee Stadium and Camden Yards where the heat is also paired with some modest out-blowing wind.
Sutter Health Park once again tops the slate with it's usual, and impactful, wind blowing out to left-center. But it will only be 80° to start in Sacramento and in the low 70s by the later innings.
Some of the best hitting weather is in Detroit where it will be in the 80s this afternoon with consistent wind blowing out to right. Comerica Park usually leans in favor of pitchers, but it's given a balanced hitter-friendly rating on Wednesday due to the conditions.
Great American Ball Park is among the venues with temps close to 90° this evening. The usually home-run-friendly venue is being downgraded a bit by the model this season as it isn't producing as many home runs as expected. To be clear, stadium-specific home run totals are associated with lots of random noise each season, often due to the effect of the home team. The model accounts for the fact that Reds hitters and pitchers may be depressing home runs by looking at each individual fly ball to determine an "expected" outcome. So far, "expected" home runs are down significantly in Cincinnati for the fly balls that are getting hit - even after accounting for weather and this year's higher-drag version of the baseball. It's still firmly rated as positive for home runs on Wednesday.
Oracle Park takes its usual spot at the pitcher-friendly end of the slate. As mentioned here this season, the out-blowing wind exists for every Giants home game and doesn't translate to the field as expected. It remains a bottom-five home run park every year despite how favorable the wind forecast appears each game.
Roof status is uncertain in Milwaukee for Cubs / Brewers this afternoon with a modest chance of rain in the forecast. It's assumed closed below, and the cooler 60° temps will favor pitchers today if they decide to open it up.
| Game | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | Receptive | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Humidity | Pressure | Outfield Size |
Altitude | Typical Flight |
Contact Rate |
Contact Quality |
Description | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sutter Health Park 10:05 | +30% | +9% | +6% | +17% | Very High | 14  | 14 | 12 | 82° | 77° | 72° | 39% | 1012 | Large | 30 | Good | Avg | The temporary home of the Athletics. Features a spacious outfield with a tiny right-field fence. Standard to the corners and center, bowed outward in the gaps. | +0.68 | +0.30 | +0.66 | +1.51 | ||||||
Oriole Park 12:35 | +15% | +5% | +6% | +12% | Med-High | 7  | 8  | 9 | 97° | 97° | 97° | 48% | 1016 | Variable | 130 | -1 | Great | Good | A uniquely-shaped field with a home-run-friendly right side. The left-field corner is particularly deep while most of the outfield perimeter is closer than average. A 21-foot-tall fence compensates for the short distance down the right field line. | +0.34 | +0.17 | +0.66 | +1.02 | |||||
Comerica Park 1:10 | +5% | +3% | +13% | +11% | High | 7  | 9 | 9  | 84° | 82° | 81° | 65% | 1016 | Large | 596 | -3 | Avg | Avg | A challenging venue for home runs with a very deep center field. The entire left side is deeper than average and the 15-foot-tall fence in right further complicates things for hitters. Batter contact is better than most parks, possibly aided by a clean batter's eye. | +0.11 | +0.12 | +1.34 | +0.93 | |||||
Progressive Field 6:40 | +7% | +12% | -1% | +9% | High | 6  | 6  | 7 | 81° | 79° | 79° | 80% | 1016 | Small | 582 | -5 | Avg | Poor | A small outfield with two distinct halves. A 19-foot fence guards most of the outfield's left side while the shorter right-field fence leaves that half vulnerable to home runs. | +0.15 | +0.43 | -0.10 | +0.78 | |||||
Great American BP 7:10 | +21% | -4% | -3% | +8% | Low | 6  | 5 | 4  | 93° | 90° | 88° | 52% | 1014 | Small | 683 | +0 | Bad | Avg | The smallest outfield in MLB, offset partially by a taller left-field wall. Stadium architecture dampens the effect from wind but hot days can turn GABP into a home run paradise. | +0.47 | -0.15 | -0.27 | +0.72 | |||||
Kauffman Stadium 2:10 | -16% | +18% | +11% | +8% | High | 5  | 3  | 3  | 99° | 99° | 99° | 52% | 1013 | X-Large | 750 | +5 | Great | Good | The largest non-Coors outfield in MLB. Perfectly symmetrical with a 9-foot-tall fence rounding the perimeter. | -0.36 | +0.63 | +1.17 | +0.68 | |||||
Angel Stadium 9:38 | +17% | -4% | -1% | +5% | Consistent | 9  | 8 | 6  | 82° | 79° | 77° | 49% | 1013 | Small | 160 | +5 | Avg | Good | Horizontally shaped to the extreme. Deep corners and a very close center field fence. Consistently mild weather with a typical out-blowing wind pattern. | +0.38 | -0.14 | -0.06 | +0.42 | |||||
Target Field 1:10 | -12% | +12% | +4% | +4% | Medium | 11 | 11 | 10 | 75° | 77° | 77° | 54% | 1021 | Medium | 812 | +0 | Avg | Good | A slightly asymmetric outfield with a deeper-than-average left side. The more shallow right side is guarded by a 23-foot-tall fence with a unique balcony overhanging the field. | -0.28 | +0.43 | +0.41 | +0.36 | |||||
Yankee Stadium 7:05 | +17% | -11% | -4% | +2% | High | 12 | 5  | 1 | 95° | 93° | 91° | 42% | 1013 | Variable | 54 | -6 | Avg | Great | A rounded asymmetrical outfield with a very shallow right field wall. The short porch is balanced out by a larger-than-average left field, though still very short to the foul pole on that side. | +0.39 | -0.38 | -0.46 | +0.15 | |||||
Rate Field 2:10 | +20% | -26% | +0% | -2% | Med-High | 10 | 10 | 14 | 73° | 73° | 73° | 93% | 1018 | Small | 596 | -3 | Bad | Avg | The smallest outfield in MLB. Shallow in every direction. Not nearly as wind-prone as its Wrigley neighbor, but can be susceptible to homers - especially on hot days. | +0.45 | -0.92 | +0.00 | -0.18 | |||||
Petco Park 4:10 | -1% | -6% | -3% | -4% | Low | 9 | 9 | 9 | 77° | 75° | 75° | 61% | 1015 | Medium | 13 | -2 | Avg | Avg | A medium-sized outfield with consistent weather conditions. Plays shallow to center and deeper to both sides. The San Diego marine layer can reduce carry distance, especially at night. | -0.02 | -0.22 | -0.34 | -0.33 | |||||
American Family Fld 2:10 | +6% | -8% | -9% | -4% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Medium | 593 | +3 | Poor | Good | A retractable-roof venue with a zig-zag outfield. Deep to each side but shallow in the gaps and to center field. The horizontal shape reduces the number of hits that fall into play. | +0.14 | -0.29 | -0.98 | -0.38 | ||||||||||||
Daikin Park 2:10 | +1% | -8% | -5% | -7% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Variable | 38 | 0 | Bad | Poor | A retractable-roof venue with strict rules for allowing an open roof. A one-of-a-kind shape with a particularly shallow left-field fence. Plays deep to center and short to right. | +0.03 | -0.27 | -0.56 | -0.57 | ||||||||||||
Busch Stadium 7:45 | -4% | -10% | +2% | -7% | Med-High | 6  | 6 | 6 | 95° | 91° | 90° | 52% | 1012 | Large | 455 | +3 | Good | Avg | A large, symmetrical outfield with deep corners and gaps. The center field fence is a few feet closer than the MLB standard. | -0.10 | -0.34 | +0.26 | -0.60 | |||||
Oracle Park 3:45 | -27% | -6% | +8% | -9% | Consistent | 9 | 11 | 12 | 57° | 59° | 59° | 95% | 1017 | Variable | 63 | 0 | Good | Poor | A uniquely shaped field with a 24 foot-tall fence guarding a very shallow right-field corner. Straight-away center is close to home plate but extends to an extremely deep right-field gap. Cool temperatures are the norm and the ever-present out-blowing wind is neutralized by the stadium architecture. | -0.61 | -0.22 | +0.89 | -0.80 | |||||
