Last Updated: 1:30 AM
It's a mostly neutral weather day on Friday with some of the league's top run environments playing close to their typical form. Temps in the 60s and 70s are expected for every outdoor game this evening with the exception of Sutter Health Park where it will be above 90° at start time. It's a dry heat in Sacramento tonight though (less than 20% humidity) which isn't as good for fly ball distance than if it were more humid. The typical breeze is expected to blow out to center field at slightly lower speeds than it has recently.
Coors Field takes its normal place atop the slate on Friday despite below-average hitting weather in Denver. The cooler 70° temps and low-ish humidity has the high-altitude venue rating slightly worse for offense than usual. Fenway Park is right behind Coors with 70° and light out-blowing wind expected in Boston. Both Fenway and Coors are excellent for runs via balls in play with neither relying on home runs to necessarily produce offense. Both venues happen to be flagged for possible delay/PPD due to rain this evening.
Great American Ball Park and Citizens Bank are rated positive for home runs on Friday despite neutral weather. Both venues have small outfields which naturally produce more homers without the help of the conditions. It's worth noting that GABP is being downgraded by the model this season as it's produced far fewer home runs than expected given the fly balls being hit in Cincinnati.
Cooler temperatures are expected in the Midwest this evening with the offensive environments in Minnesota, Cleveland, and Chicago all being dampened a bit by temps in the 60s.
| Game | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | Receptive | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Humidity | Pressure | Outfield Size |
Altitude | Typical Flight |
Contact Rate |
Contact Quality |
Description | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coors Field 8:40 | +13% | +25% | +9% | +22% | Low | 9 | 11 | 7 | 75° | 72° | 70° | 40% | 1013 | X-Large | 5,183 | +29 | Great | Avg | An extreme outlier of a stadium. Played 4,000 feet higher in altitude than the next closest MLB park. Has an extra-large outfield to accommodate much farther carry distances. Excellent for batter contact as the high altitude limits pitch effectiveness. | +0.30 | +0.87 | +0.92 | +1.97 | |||||
Sutter Health Park 10:05 | +28% | +8% | +6% | +19% | Very High | 11 | 9 | 8 | 91° | 86° | 81° | 21% | 1013 | Large | 30 | Good | Avg | The temporary home of the Athletics. Features a spacious outfield with a tiny right-field fence. Standard to the corners and center, bowed outward in the gaps. | +0.64 | +0.29 | +0.65 | +1.67 | ||||||
Fenway Park 7:10 | +5% | +19% | +11% | +19% | High | 7 | 4 | 4 | 72° | 70° | 70° | 64% | 1013 | Variable | 20 | -3 | Good | Great | A one-of-a-kind shape with a deep right field and a 37-foot-tall fence guarding the extremely shallow left side. Similarly, the 18-foot-tall fence in center offsets the close distance to home plate. While the tall fences help neutralize homers, they are excellent targets for singles and doubles. | +0.12 | +0.66 | +1.19 | +1.66 | |||||
Kauffman Stadium 8:10 | -21% | +20% | +6% | +5% | High | 0 | 3 | 4 | 77° | 75° | 73° | 54% | 1016 | X-Large | 750 | +5 | Great | Good | The largest non-Coors outfield in MLB. Perfectly symmetrical with a 9-foot-tall fence rounding the perimeter. | -0.47 | +0.69 | +0.69 | +0.44 | |||||
Citizens Bank Park 6:45 | +12% | +2% | -1% | +5% | Very High | 11 | 8 | 6 | 75° | 73° | 72° | 49% | 1014 | Small | 9 | -3 | Bad | Great | One of the smaller outfields in MLB. Relies on tall fences to keep home runs from getting out of hand. The most wind-receptive venue outside of Wrigley. | +0.26 | +0.06 | -0.13 | +0.42 | |||||
Nationals Park 6:45 | +2% | 0% | +4% | +4% | Med-High | 10 | 8 | 6 | 77° | 75° | 73° | 38% | 1016 | Medium | 25 | -2 | Great | Great | A horizontal-shaped outfield with taller-than-average fences. Shallow to center field and deep to the corners. A 16-foot wall covers most of the right-field gap, compensating for how close it is at parts. | +0.05 | -0.02 | +0.48 | +0.38 | |||||
Dodger Stadium 10:10 | +9% | 0% | -2% | +2% | Consistent | 7 | 6 | 4 | 84° | 81° | 79° | 39% | 1014 | Medium | 267 | +3 | Avg | Great | A symmetrical outfield with a highly consistent wind pattern (out to right-center). Plays deep down the lines and particularly shallow to center field. | +0.20 | -0.01 | -0.22 | +0.16 | |||||
Great American BP 6:40 | +12% | -12% | +1% | +1% | Low | 7 | 7 | 7 | 77° | 73° | 72° | 40% | 1018 | Small | 683 | +0 | Bad | Avg | The smallest outfield in MLB, offset partially by a taller left-field wall. Stadium architecture dampens the effect from wind but hot days can turn GABP into a home run paradise. | +0.28 | -0.41 | +0.11 | +0.08 | |||||
Target Field 8:10 | -10% | +3% | +3% | -1% | Medium | 6 | 6 | 6 | 68° | 66° | 64° | 82% | 1018 | Medium | 812 | +0 | Avg | Good | A slightly asymmetric outfield with a deeper-than-average left side. The more shallow right side is guarded by a 23-foot-tall fence with a unique balcony overhanging the field. | -0.23 | +0.11 | +0.31 | -0.05 | |||||
Rogers Centre 7:07 | +1% | +0% | -2% | -1% | Minimal | 9 | 11 | 9 | 64° | 63° | 61° | 48% | 1018 | Medium | 247 | +0 | Great | Good | A neutral-sized retractable roof venue where every opportunity is taken to play outdoors. A closed roof is well-received by hitters on cold Toronto days but can favor pitchers when its hot out. | +0.01 | +0.00 | -0.19 | -0.11 | |||||
Oracle Park 10:15 | -18% | -6% | +10% | -2% | Consistent | 9 | 8 | 6 | 61° | 61° | 59° | 84% | 1017 | Variable | 63 | 0 | Good | Poor | A uniquely shaped field with a 24 foot-tall fence guarding a very shallow right-field corner. Straight-away center is close to home plate but extends to an extremely deep right-field gap. Cool temperatures are the norm and the ever-present out-blowing wind is neutralized by the stadium architecture. | -0.41 | -0.22 | +1.11 | -0.18 | |||||
Progressive Field 7:10 | -13% | -3% | +3% | -4% | High | 2 | 2 | 1 | 64° | 64° | 63° | 65% | 1020 | Small | 582 | -5 | Avg | Poor | A small outfield with two distinct halves. A 19-foot fence guards most of the outfield's left side while the shorter right-field fence leaves that half vulnerable to home runs. | -0.28 | -0.12 | +0.27 | -0.39 | |||||
Rate Field 7:40 | +1% | -18% | +1% | -7% | Med-High | 8 | 6 | 6 | 64° | 64° | 63° | 70% | 1020 | Small | 596 | -3 | Bad | Avg | The smallest outfield in MLB. Shallow in every direction. Not nearly as wind-prone as its Wrigley neighbor, but can be susceptible to homers - especially on hot days. | +0.03 | -0.63 | +0.08 | -0.59 | |||||
Daikin Park 8:10 | -1% | -8% | -5% | -8% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Variable | 38 | 0 | Bad | Poor | A retractable-roof venue with strict rules for allowing an open roof. A one-of-a-kind shape with a particularly shallow left-field fence. Plays deep to center and short to right. | -0.01 | -0.29 | -0.58 | -0.72 | ||||||||||||
Citi Field 7:10 | -2% | -24% | -5% | -14% | Low | 12 | 12 | 11 | 73° | 72° | 70° | 49% | 1014 | Medium | 54 | -1 | Poor | Poor | An unusually-shaped outfield with deep corners, shallow gaps, and a deep straight-away measurement to center. One of the worst venues for batter contact in the league. | -0.04 | -0.85 | -0.56 | -1.22 | |||||