Park Factors
Last Updated: 1:30 AM
Yesterday's shift toward more pitcher-friendly weather carries into Monday with high pressure and in-blowing wind across much of the slate. Although it's expected to be in the 70s and 80s for all 11 outdoor games, both of these are factors that reduce fly ball distance.
The top three environments for offense on Monday are Chase Field (where the roof will be closed) along with Coors Field and Fenway Park - two of MLB's best run-producing venues. Coors will play close to its typical self on Monday with the 80° temps offset by low humidity and high pressure. The latter is at the extreme-high end in Boston where the 8 mph wind is a modest factor as well. Both venues are well on the positive side for runs with Fenway getting a negative rating for homers.
The open-air Steinbrenner Field is expected to be affected by double-digit wind blowing in from left this evening. The minor league venue has been one of the most wind-receptive parks in MLB this year. It's still warm in Tampa (84°) so the park is rated close to neutral for all types of offense despite the wind. The short porch in right is still a top HR target but it will be more difficult to clear the deep left field fence this evening.
The wind is blowing in at Wrigley Field for Braves / Cubs this afternoon. Although it's only 8 mph, it still figures to be a factor as Wrigley is the most receptive venue in MLB.
| Game | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | Receptive | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Hour 1 | Hour 2 | Hour 3 | Humidity | Pressure | Outfield Size |
Altitude | Typical Flight |
Contact Rate |
Contact Quality |
Description | HR | 2B/3B | 1B | Runs | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Coors Field 4:10 | +24% | +35% | +13% | +35% | Low | 8  | 9 | 8 | 84° | 84° | 84° | 24% | 1019 | X-Large | 5,183 | +29 | Great | Avg | An extreme outlier of a stadium. Played 4,000 feet higher in altitude than the next closest MLB park. Has an extra-large outfield to accommodate much farther carry distances. Excellent for batter contact as the high altitude limits pitch effectiveness. | +0.53 | +1.21 | +1.37 | +3.05 | |||||
Fenway Park 1:35 | -20% | +24% | +10% | +9% | High | 8  | 7 | 7 | 73° | 73° | 72° | 54% | 1025 | Variable | 20 | -3 | Good | Great | A one-of-a-kind shape with a deep right field and a 37-foot-tall fence guarding the extremely shallow left side. Similarly, the 18-foot-tall fence in center offsets the close distance to home plate. While the tall fences help neutralize homers, they are excellent targets for singles and doubles. | -0.46 | +0.84 | +1.06 | +0.80 | |||||
Chase Field 8:10 | -2% | +15% | +3% | +8% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Large | 1,082 | +11 | Great | Bad | The highest MLB altitude outside of Coors. Large outfield to accommodate longer carry distance on fly balls. Massive 25-foot center field fence. | -0.05 | +0.54 | +0.37 | +0.72 | ||||||||||||
Steinbrenner Field 7:35 | +11% | +4% | -2% | +4% | Very High | 15  | 16 | 16 | 84° | 82° | 81° | 72% | 1011 | Variable | 48 | Poor | ? | The temporary home of the Rays. Features the exact same dimensions as Yankee Stadium. Very short to right and deeper-than-average to most of left field. Should usually be hitter-friendly, especially during the summer. At risk for lots of rainouts. | +0.24 | +0.14 | -0.26 | +0.31 | ||||||
Nationals Park 1:05 | -4% | +6% | +3% | +3% | Med-High | 11 | 11 | 9 | 79° | 79° | 79° | 37% | 1022 | Medium | 25 | -2 | Great | Great | A horizontal-shaped outfield with taller-than-average fences. Shallow to center field and deep to the corners. A 16-foot wall covers most of the right-field gap, compensating for how close it is at parts. | -0.09 | +0.20 | +0.33 | +0.29 | |||||
Great American BP 1:10 | +7% | -5% | +2% | +3% | Low | 7  | 7 | 7 | 79° | 82° | 84° | 45% | 1021 | Small | 683 | +0 | Bad | Avg | The smallest outfield in MLB, offset partially by a taller left-field wall. Stadium architecture dampens the effect from wind but hot days can turn GABP into a home run paradise. | +0.17 | -0.18 | +0.23 | +0.23 | |||||
Target Field 2:10 | -13% | +11% | +2% | +1% | Medium | 4  | 4  | 4 | 72° | 72° | 73° | 52% | 1023 | Medium | 812 | +0 | Avg | Good | A slightly asymmetric outfield with a deeper-than-average left side. The more shallow right side is guarded by a 23-foot-tall fence with a unique balcony overhanging the field. | -0.29 | +0.38 | +0.20 | +0.08 | |||||
Comerica Park 1:10 | -16% | +3% | +7% | 0% | High | 6  | 6 | 6 | 75° | 77° | 77° | 52% | 1024 | Large | 596 | -3 | Avg | Avg | A challenging venue for home runs with a very deep center field. The entire left side is deeper than average and the 15-foot-tall fence in right further complicates things for hitters. Batter contact is better than most parks, possibly aided by a clean batter's eye. | -0.37 | +0.10 | +0.72 | -0.04 | |||||
Busch Stadium 2:15 | -15% | -7% | +2% | -8% | Med-High | 7  | 7  | 7 | 77° | 79° | 73° | 68% | 1020 | Large | 455 | +3 | Good | Avg | A large, symmetrical outfield with deep corners and gaps. The center field fence is a few feet closer than the MLB standard. | -0.34 | -0.25 | +0.18 | -0.67 | |||||
Petco Park 6:40 | +1% | -10% | -5% | -8% | Low | 10 | 10 | 10 | 81° | 81° | 81° | 62% | 1011 | Medium | 13 | -2 | Avg | Avg | A medium-sized outfield with consistent weather conditions. Plays shallow to center and deeper to both sides. The San Diego marine layer can reduce carry distance, especially at night. | +0.03 | -0.35 | -0.58 | -0.68 | |||||
Daikin Park 2:10 | +0% | -9% | -5% | -8% | Roof Closed | Roof Closed | Variable | 38 | 0 | Bad | Poor | A retractable-roof venue with strict rules for allowing an open roof. A one-of-a-kind shape with a particularly shallow left-field fence. Plays deep to center and short to right. | +0.00 | -0.31 | -0.58 | -0.71 | ||||||||||||
American Family Fld 4:10 | +5% | -4% | -14% | -10% | Low | 6 | 6 | 5 | 75° | 73° | 73° | 54% | 1023 | Medium | 593 | +3 | Poor | Good | A retractable-roof venue with a zig-zag outfield. Deep to each side but shallow in the gaps and to center field. The horizontal shape reduces the number of hits that fall into play. | +0.11 | -0.13 | -1.45 | -0.88 | |||||
Wrigley Field 4:05 | -25% | -4% | -2% | -14% | Extreme | 8 | 7 | 7 | 75° | 77° | 75° | 62% | 1023 | Medium | 596 | -2 | Poor | Bad | The most wind-receptive venue in baseball (by a lot). Out-blowing wind tends to correlate with warmer temperatures, and vice versa. The Corners are very deep and guarded by 16-foot-tall-fences. An extremely shallow porch in left-center makes for a cheap home run target. | -0.56 | -0.13 | -0.16 | -1.20 | |||||
