Park Factors

<< 9/26 September 27, 2025 9/28 >>

Last Updated: 12:23 PM

There's a variety of weather conditions on Saturday with temperatures ranging from low 60s to upper 80s. Low air pressure continues to be a theme this weekend with more than half of outdoor games expecting pressure on the low end. Like warm temperatures, low pressure is a factor that increases fly ball distance.

Wrigley Field and Sutter Health Park are the two most wind-receptive stadiums in MLB, and it's expected to blow out at each venue on Saturday. Although it's only single-digit speeds at Wrigley, even lighter wind has shown the ability to impact the game in Chicago where offense will be further aided by 88° temps on Saturday. Out-blowing wind at SHP is nothing new, but it's expected to be around 15 mph this evening, which is a bit faster than usual.

The roof will be open in Milwaukee where American Family Field is expected to get an offensive boost from the 80° temps and low pressure. The corners are fairly deep in Milwaukee but the shallow center field can be a great spot for home runs, especially when conditions are good.

Oracle Park will get its usual 60° forecast with wind blowing out. As noted here throughout the season, the forecast calls for out-blowing wind more than 98% of the time at Oracle, but that direction doesn't translate to the field as expected. Oracle has the 3rd fewest home runs this season (1.81 per game), which is in line with where it's been historically.

Weather Icon Key–Park Factors Guide
Game HR 2B/3B 1B Runs Receptive Hour 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Hour 1 Hour 2 Hour 3 Humidity Pressure Outfield
Size		 Altitude Typical
Flight		 Contact
Rate		 Contact
Quality		 Description HR 2B/3B 1B Runs
Sutter Health Park 10:05
KC @ ATH 
+35%+9%+5%+21%Very High 14  14  14 72°68°66°68%1009Large30GoodAvgThe temporary home of the Athletics. Features a spacious outfield with a tiny right-field fence. Standard to the corners and center, bowed outward in the gaps.+0.78+0.30+0.56+1.86
Rogers Centre 3:07
TB @ TOR 
+14%+20%+0%+16%Minimal 6  9  9 79°79°77°74%998Medium247+0GreatGoodA neutral-sized retractable roof venue where every opportunity is taken to play outdoors. A closed roof is well-received by hitters on cold Toronto days but can favor pitchers when its hot out.+0.32+0.70+0.04+1.36
Nationals Park 4:05
CHW @ WAS 
+5%+13%+6%+13%Med-High 4  7  7 77°75°75°77%1011Medium25 -2GreatGreatA horizontal-shaped outfield with taller-than-average fences. Shallow to center field and deep to the corners. A 16-foot wall covers most of the right-field gap, compensating for how close it is at parts.+0.12+0.46+0.62+1.10
Fenway Park 4:10
DET @ BOS 
-7%+18%+10%+12%High 5  7  7 68°66°64°72%1012Variable20 -3GoodGreatA one-of-a-kind shape with a deep right field and a 37-foot-tall fence guarding the extremely shallow left side. Similarly, the 18-foot-tall fence in center offsets the close distance to home plate. While the tall fences help neutralize homers, they are excellent targets for singles and doubles.-0.16+0.63+1.05+1.06
Truist Park 7:15
PIT @ ATL 
+11%-4%+9%+10%Medium 5  4  3 79°77°75°50%976Medium1,050+3PoorGreatAn unevenly shaped outfield with a deep left side. The tall fence in right makes up for a shallow right field corner. Benefits from warm temperatures and relatively high altitude.+0.25-0.12+0.98+0.87
Citizens Bank Park 6:05
MIN @ PHI 
+27%+7%-7%+10%Very High 4  3  2 81°77°75°58%1014Small9 -3BadGreatOne of the smaller outfields in MLB. Relies on tall fences to keep home runs from getting out of hand. The most wind-receptive venue outside of Wrigley.+0.61+0.23-0.74+0.84
Wrigley Field 2:20
STL @ CHC 
+13%+4%+2%+9%Extreme 4  4  4 88°88°88°33%992Medium596 -2PoorBadThe most wind-receptive venue in baseball (by a lot). Out-blowing wind tends to correlate with warmer temperatures, and vice versa. The Corners are very deep and guarded by 16-foot-tall-fences. An extremely shallow porch in left-center makes for a cheap home run target.+0.29+0.13+0.18+0.78
American Family Fld 7:15
CIN @ MIL 
+27%-15%-3%+2%Low 7  6  7 79°75°72°36%986Medium593+3PoorGoodA retractable-roof venue with a zig-zag outfield. Deep to each side but shallow in the gaps and to center field. The horizontal shape reduces the number of hits that fall into play.+0.60-0.53-0.28+0.22
Oracle Park 4:05
COL @ SF  
-21%+5%+10%+0%Consistent 14  14  14 68°68°68°81%1007Variable63 0GoodPoorA uniquely shaped field with a 24 foot-tall fence guarding a very shallow right-field corner. Straight-away center is close to home plate but extends to an extremely deep right-field gap. Cool temperatures are the norm and the ever-present out-blowing wind is neutralized by the stadium architecture.-0.48+0.16+1.05+0.04
Angel Stadium 9:38
HOU @ LAA 
+13%-8%-4%-1%Consistent 8  6  5 70°70°68°73%1005Small160+5AvgGoodHorizontally shaped to the extreme. Deep corners and a very close center field fence. Consistently mild weather with a typical out-blowing wind pattern.+0.30-0.28-0.45-0.10
Progressive Field 7:15
TEX @ CLE 
-2%+10%-7%-2%High 2  3  6 75°72°70°53%991Small582 -5AvgPoorA small outfield with two distinct halves. A 19-foot fence guards most of the outfield's left side while the shorter right-field fence leaves that half vulnerable to home runs.-0.04+0.36-0.74-0.15
Yankee Stadium 1:05
BAL @ NYY 
+16%-13%-4%-2%High 3  5  7 82°84°86°51%1013Variable54 -6AvgGreatA rounded asymmetrical outfield with a very shallow right field wall. The short porch is balanced out by a larger-than-average left field, though still very short to the foul pole on that side.+0.36-0.45-0.47-0.15
LoanDepot Park 4:10
NYM @ MIA 
-10%+5%-2%-3%Roof ClosedRoof ClosedLarge15+0GoodAvgA retractable-roof field that is normally enclosed. The tall fences and large outfield promote doubles while suppressing home runs.-0.22+0.16-0.21-0.31
T-Mobile Park 9:40
LAD @ SEA 
+5%-20%+0%-5%Medium 4  5  4 70°64°63°63%1002Small10 -6PoorBadOne of the smallest outfields in MLB, justified by cooler weather and short carry distances. Strikeouts are boosted by low altitude and a tricky batters eye.+0.12-0.70+0.03-0.46
Petco Park 8:40
ARI @ SD  
-3%-5%-8%-9%Low 7  6  5 70°70°68°78%1009Medium13 -2AvgAvgA medium-sized outfield with consistent weather conditions. Plays shallow to center and deeper to both sides. The San Diego marine layer can reduce carry distance, especially at night.-0.06-0.17-0.81-0.77